Result
1:0
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 4 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 9, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, RTL Play, RTL Plug, VTM 4, VTM GO |
Brazil | HBO Max |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
France | Canal+ Live 17 |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
Hungary | RTL+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Arena |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | FOX One |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Nigeria | SuperSport OTT 3 |
Norway | TV2 Play |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Singapore | beIN Connect |
South-africa | SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 4 |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 13 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | Tabii |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 19 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime |
World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (254/346) | 87% (524/605) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (254/346) | 87% (524/605) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 44% (15/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (53/100) | 79% (106/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 28', Samardzic L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Lookman A. ↓, Sulemana K. ↑,
- 52', Samardzic L. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
- 52', Musah Y. ↓, De Roon M. ↑,
- 57', Florucz R. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
- 57', Zorgane A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
- 61', Krstovic N. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
- 69', Ahanor H. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 0, Khalaili A. ⚽, Ait El Hadj A. (A),
- 74', Kossounou O. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
- 77', Sykes R. 🟨,
- 85', Guilherme Smith ↓, Niang O. ↑,
- 90+2', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Leysen F. ↑,
- 90+3', Scamacca G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Gilloise 31.7% | Draw 27.4% | Atalanta 40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.04 ↓ (3.41) |
3.48 ↓ (3.71) |
2.34 ↑ (2.14) |
4.5% (3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DNB - Atalanta (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Atalanta (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Union SG (2.31) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- AH -1 - Atalanta (1.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atalanta will win
(61 of 74 users predict this - 82.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.76% – 91.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (33 of 35 users predict this - 94.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 2 - 4.5%). Atalanta (votes: 40 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.
- In recent matches, Union SG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atalanta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Union SG has had a series of away games.
- Atalanta could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Union SG: Biondic M.
(Inactive)
David P.
(Yellow Cards)
Francois G.
(Inactive)
Giger M.
(Inactive)
Pavlic I.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez K.
(Back Injury)
Sylla M.
(Inactive)
Teunckens J.
(Inactive)
Zeneli B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M.
(Knee Injury)
Bellanova R.
(Injury)
Raspadori G.
(Inactive)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Atalanta?
Saint-Gilloise has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Saint-Gilloise?
Atalanta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta were as follows:
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Latest results of Atalanta
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal