Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 9, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, RTL Play, RTL Plug, VTM 4, VTM GO
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Arena
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX One
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 3
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 19
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTV Prime
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.000.87
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
42
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
06
Passes
73% (254/346)87% (524/605)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.000.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.21
Total shots
813
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
27
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
17
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1110
Passes
73% (254/346)87% (524/605)
Long passes
35% (22/62)44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
53% (53/100)79% (106/134)
Crosses
20% (1/5)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.93
Throw ins
1224
Fouls
1011
Tackles
75% (18/24)71% (5/7)
Duels won
5136
Clearances
2515
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.210.19
Goals prevented
0.21-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 28', Samardzic L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Lookman A. , Sulemana K. ,
  • 52', Samardzic L. , De Ketelaere C. ,
  • 52', Musah Y. , De Roon M. ,
  • 57', Florucz R. , Fuseini M. ,
  • 57', Zorgane A. , Schoofs R. ,
  • 61', Krstovic N. , Scamacca G. ,
  • 69', Ahanor H. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Khalaili A. , Ait El Hadj A. (A),
  • 74', Kossounou O. , Pasalic M. ,
  • 77', Sykes R. 🟨,
  • 85', Guilherme Smith , Niang O. ,
  • 90+2', Ait El Hadj A. , Leysen F. ,
  • 90+3', Scamacca G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
31.7%
Draw
27.4%
Atalanta
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 26.2% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 28.3% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.04
    (3.41)
    3.48
    (3.71)
    2.34
    (2.14)
    4.5%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DNB - Atalanta (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Atalanta (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Union SG (2.31) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Atalanta (1.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (61 of 74 users predict this - 82.43%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.76%91.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (33 of 35 users predict this - 94.29%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 2 - 4.5%). Atalanta (votes: 40 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.
    • In recent matches, Union SG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atalanta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Union SG has had a series of away games.
    • Atalanta could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Biondic M. (Inactive) David P. (Yellow Cards) Francois G. (Inactive) Giger M. (Inactive) Pavlic I. (Inactive) Rodriguez K. (Back Injury) Sylla M. (Inactive) Teunckens J. (Inactive) Zeneli B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Raspadori G. (Inactive)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of Atalanta
    25.01.2026 Atalanta - Parma 4:0
    21.01.2026 Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao 2:3
    16.01.2026 Pisa - Atalanta 1:1
    10.01.2026 Atalanta - Torino 2:0
    07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2