Saint-Gilloise vs Genk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels).

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 7
Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Bold+
France	DAZN 5, DAZN France
Germany	Sportdigital+
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	GolStadium
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.74
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
11	3
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
77% (283/368)	77% (318/412)
Yellow Cards
5	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	0.10
Total shots
11	3
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
3	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
24	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
16	17
Passes
77% (283/368)	77% (318/412)
Long passes
46% (24/52)	50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
69% (92/133)	58% (81/140)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.58
Throw-ins
20	25
Fouls
17	16
Tackles
65% (11/17)	57% (16/28)
Duels won
53	63
Clearances
40	17
Interceptions
5	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.10	1.46
Goals prevented
0.10	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', David P. (Pen),
41', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
43', Bangoura I. 🟨,
45+1', David P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Bangoura I. 🟨,
56', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
60', Van De Perre K. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
60', Niang O. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
66', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Burgess C. ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
71', Burgess C. 🟨,
73', Fink T. 🟨,
82', David P. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
87', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
87', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
87', Steuckers J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
90+2', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
90+3', Ivanovic F. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
90+5', Heynen B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Saint-Gilloise
49.8%

Draw
25.7%

Genk
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Saint-Gilloise - Genk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.97)	3.7 ↓ (3.76)	3.85 ↑ (3.64)	5.4% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Genk?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Genk will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Genk (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Gilloise will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 3.
Union SG is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Genk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Union SG is the team to beat.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Genk?

Saint-Gilloise has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Saint-Gilloise?

Genk has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Genk were as follows:

20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2

15.03.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 2:1

10.11.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 4:0

26.05.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 2:0

01.04.2024 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:0

Latest results of Saint-Gilloise

27.04.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge 0:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 2:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Gent - Saint-Gilloise 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Genk

27.04.2025 Genk - Royal Antwerp 0:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Royal Antwerp - Genk 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Club Brugge - Genk 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Anderlecht - Genk 1:2 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Leuven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cercle Brugge KSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Dender	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	St. Liege	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Waregem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Royale Union SG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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