Result
1:2
21/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Finland | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | DAZN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (436/512) | 74% (206/278) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (436/512) | 74% (206/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (36/56) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (111/149) | 53% (42/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, David P. ⚽, Burgess C. (A),
- 27', El Ouahdi Z. 🟨,
- 44', Leysen F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Niang O. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Ito J. ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
- 59', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
- 62', Rasmussen M. ↓, Van De Perre K. ↑,
- 62', David P. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
- 69', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 69', Ito J. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
- 69', Erabi J. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
- 69', El Ouahdi Z. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,
- 81', Niang O. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
- 81', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
- 90', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kayembe J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Schoofs R. ⚽, Florucz R. (A),
Chances of winning
Genk
31.6% | Draw
26.9% | Saint-Gilloise
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Genk - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.65) |
3.56 ↑
(3.55) |
2.31 ↓
(2.36) |
4.8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Genk - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Union SG will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0, 1st Half - Union SG (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1.
- In recent matches, Genk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Union SG is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Genk: Heymans D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Genk: Sor Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Union SG: David P.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Genk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Saint-Gilloise?
Genk has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Genk?
Saint-Gilloise has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
03.05.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Genk
1:0
20.04.2025
Genk
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:2
15.03.2025
Genk
-
Saint-Gilloise
2:1
10.11.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Genk
4:0
26.05.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Genk
2:0
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
