Saint-Gilloise vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:3
09/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 8
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalySky Sport 257
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport OTT 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 8
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.48
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
83% (339/408)89% (539/606)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.25
Total shots
810
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
101
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
83% (339/408)89% (539/606)
Long passes
55% (29/53)47% (14/30)
Passes in final third
64% (69/108)75% (113/150)
Crosses
31% (5/16)0% (0/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.48
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1010
Tackles
59% (10/17)63% (5/8)
Duels won
4238
Clearances
2033
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.251.05
Goals prevented
-0.75-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Khalaili A. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Paixao I. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 28', Weah T. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Greenwood M. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Weah T. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Greenwood M. ⚽, O'Riley M. (A),
  • 59', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 63', Schoofs R. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
  • 63', Florucz R. ↓, David P. ↑,
  • 68', Zorgane A. 🟨,
  • 69', O'Riley M. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 3, Khalaili A. ⚽,
  • 80', Niang O. 🟨,
  • 82', Van De Perre K. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
  • 82', Rodriguez K. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
  • 88', Aubameyang P. ↓, Kondogbia G. ↑,
  • 88', Greenwood M. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 90', David P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Niang O. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
31.8%		Draw
27.5%		Olympique Marseille
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 26.9% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 26.6% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
    •

    Saint-Gilloise - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.02 ↓
    (3.03)    		 3.5 ↓
    (3.55)    		 2.37 ↑
    (2.3)    		 3.8%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 10.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 41 - 70.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 59% – 82.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Union SG (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Union SG (2.16) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Marseille (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Marseille (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Union SG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Francois G. (Inactive) Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury) Pavlic I. (Inactive) Teunckens J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Inactive) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Lirola P. (Inactive) Maupay N. (Inactive) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury) Vermot T. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    06.12.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Gent 1:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem 2:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise 1:0 ✺
    25.11.2025 Galatasaray - Saint-Gilloise 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    05.12.2025 Lille - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 2:2 ✺
    25.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:5 ✺
    08.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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