Saint-Gilloise vs Sint-Truidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Joseph Marien (Brussels).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 12
Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	1.45
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
79% (282/357)	79% (330/419)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.47	0.18
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
13	8
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
35	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
11	7
Passes
79% (282/357)	79% (330/419)
Long passes
50% (29/58)	50% (34/68)
Passes in final third
69% (90/130)	63% (69/110)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	0.70
Throw-ins
19	27
Fouls
7	11
Tackles
67% (16/24)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
55	34
Clearances
25	21
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.18	1.47
Goals prevented
0.18	-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Sebaoui I. 🟨,
25', Sissako A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Giger M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Rodriguez K. ⚽, Van De Perre K. (A),
65', Ferrari A. ↓, Ito R. ↑,
65', Sebaoui I. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
65', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
76', David P. ↓, Zorgane A. ↑,
76', Schoofs R. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
76', Sissako A. ↓, Diriken A. ↑,
78', Ait El Hadj A. 🟨,
84', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Rodriguez K. ⚽, Rasmussen M. (A),

Chances of winning

Saint-Gilloise
68.2%

Draw
18.9%

Sint-Truidense
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

17.7%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.9%

16.5%

10.8%

Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	5.08 ↓ (5.3)	7.5 ↓ (8.1)	5.5% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Gilloise will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 4.
Recent performances by Union SG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sint-Truidense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Union SG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Union SG has had a series of home games.
In this match, Union SG is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Ito R. (Muscle Injury) Musliu V. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Union SG: Niang O. (Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Sint-Truidense?

Saint-Gilloise has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Saint-Gilloise?

Sint-Truidense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense were as follows:

02.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:1

25.08.2024 Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise 0:0

21.01.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:1

08.10.2023 Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise 0:4

02.04.2023 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:1

Latest results of Saint-Gilloise

21.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Inter Milan 0:4 ✺

18.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi 3:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise 1:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Newcastle United 0:4 ✺

27.09.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Westerlo 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Sint-Truidense

19.10.2025 Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht 2:2 ✺

04.10.2025 KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense 1:3 ✺

28.09.2025 Sint-Truidense - Genk 1:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Sint-Truidense - Westerlo 0:3 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	24	15	7	2	40:13	27	52
2	St. Truiden	24	15	3	6	37:26	11	48
3	Club Brugge KV	24	15	2	7	45:29	16	47
4	Anderlecht	24	10	6	8	30:30	0	36
5	KV Mechelen	24	9	9	6	30:26	4	36
6	Gent	24	9	6	9	38:35	3	33
7	Charleroi	24	9	6	9	32:30	2	33
8	Genk	24	8	8	8	33:35	-2	32
9	St. Liege	24	9	3	12	20:32	-12	30
10	Antwerp	24	8	6	10	28:26	2	30
11	Waregem	24	7	8	9	32:35	-3	29
12	Westerlo	24	7	7	10	30:37	-7	28
13	Leuven	24	6	7	11	24:33	-9	25
14	Cercle Brugge KSV	24	5	9	10	32:38	-6	24
15	RAAL La Louviere	24	5	9	10	21:28	-7	24
16	Dender	24	3	8	13	18:37	-19	17

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
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