Result
1:3
22/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Finland | DAZN |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (552/636) | 83% (361/435) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (552/636) | 83% (361/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (113/162) | 75% (91/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 56% (9/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, Burgess C. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Sykes R. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 3, Zeneli B. ⚽, Guilherme Smith (A),
- 62', Ito R. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
- 62', Muja A. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 65', Biondic M. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
- 73', Goto K. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
- 75', Sissako A. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
- 75', Guilherme Smith ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 75', Zeneli B. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 3, Diouf O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
31.1% | Draw
29.8% | Saint-Gilloise
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sint-Truidense's performance.Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sint-Truidense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↓
(3.68) |
3.18 ↑
(3.06) |
2.42 ↑
(2.17) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Union SG will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 0.
- Recent performances by Sint-Truidense have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Union SG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sint-Truidense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Union SG could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T.
(Ankle Injury)
David P.
(Inactive)
Florucz R.
(Inactive)
Niang O.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Saint-Gilloise?
Sint-Truidense has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Sint-Truidense?
Saint-Gilloise has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
26.10.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Sint-Truidense
2:0
02.02.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Sint-Truidense
2:1
25.08.2024
Sint-Truidense
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:0
21.01.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Sint-Truidense
2:1
08.10.2023
Sint-Truidense
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:4
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Genk | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Waregem | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
