Result
0:0
01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 27
- Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (236/326) | 84% (428/508) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (236/326) | 84% (428/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/65) | 54% (31/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (56/109) | 65% (81/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 42% (10/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Nsiala C. 🟥,
- 35', Schoofs R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sakamoto I. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
- 52', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
- 66', Schoofs R. ↓, Zeneli B. ↑,
- 66', Patris L. ↓, Guilherme Smith ↑,
- 71', Ourega D. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
- 80', Charai I. 🟨,
- 83', Giger M. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
- 88', Fuseini M. ↓, Leysen F. ↑,
- 90+1', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nacho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
21.2% | Draw
24.8% | Saint-Gilloise
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.46 ↓
(4.85) |
3.84 ↓
(3.96) |
1.75 ↑
(1.64) |
5.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 25.1% – 83.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Westerlo (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Westerlo (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Gilloise will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Union SG (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Bujupi E.
(Knee Injury)
Destan E.
(Knee Injury)
Kimura S.
(Groin Injury)
Laalaoui R.
(Muscle Injury)
Mbamba-Muanda L.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T.
(Ankle Injury)
Niang O.
(Knee Injury)
Scherpen K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Rodriguez K.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:38. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.8:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Saint-Gilloise?
Westerlo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Westerlo?
Saint-Gilloise has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
27.09.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Westerlo
2:0
15.12.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Westerlo
3:1
10.08.2024
Westerlo
-
Saint-Gilloise
4:3
10.02.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Westerlo
2:2
29.10.2023
Westerlo
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:3
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
