Result
3:4 OT
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 2.53 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 18.18% (4/22) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 81.82% (18/22) | 88% (22/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 41.07 | 58.93 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 09:21, 1 - 0, Knihti F. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Tiivola P. (A2)
- 14:18, Kostilainen S. (2 min),
- 16:32, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 18:29, 2 - 0, Tiivola P. (G), Juhola P. (A), Nurmi P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:52, Kramer B. (2 min),
- 11:18, (2 min),
- 16:14, Ylitalo O. (2 min),
- 18:28, 3 - 0, Puutio K. (G), Ylitalo O. (A),
- 19:42, 3 - 1, Kramer B. (G), Tauslahti M. (A), Aho K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 03:47, 3 - 2, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
- 04:57, Salminen S. (2 min),
- 10:05, Siikanen P. (2 min),
- 19:49, 3 - 3, Kuusla E. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 02:08, 3 - 4, Kramer B. (G), Siikanen P. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ässät
30.6% | Draw
23.1% | SaiPa
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SaiPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ässät - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.83) |
3.99 ↑
(3.83) |
2 ↓
(2.19) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ässät - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 1 - 25%). SaiPa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
- Ässät is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SaiPa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ässät has had a series of away games.
- SaiPa could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:51. (average 2.7:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3.3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against SaiPa?
Ässät has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Ässät?
SaiPa has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - SaiPa were as follows:
11.02.2026
SaiPa
-
Ässät
4:0
12.11.2025
SaiPa
-
Ässät
2:5
21.10.2025
Ässät
-
SaiPa
3:2
01.08.2025
SaiPa
-
Ässät
2:1
01.02.2025
Ässät
-
SaiPa
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
