Result
2:5
12/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 3.17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 19.23% (5/26) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84% (21/25) | 90% (18/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 25% (2/8) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 38.89 | 61.11 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 03:51, 1 - 0, Fortier M. (G), Trejbal O. (A), Kramer B. (A2)
- 12:28, Vanhatalo L. (2 min),
- 12:42, 2 - 0, Heikkila J. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
- 15:55, Riihinen P. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:59, 2 - 1, Tiivola P. (G), Vanhatalo L. (A), Fabre D. (A2)
- 05:56, Airola S. (2 min),
- 08:24, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 12:49, Aho K. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 4)
- 03:26, Kramer B. (2 min),
- 03:26, Tammela J. (2 min),
- 04:09, Kalapudas A. (2 min),
- 08:54, 2 - 2, Olofsson J. (G), Karjalainen M. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)
- 08:54, (2 min),
- 10:52, 2 - 3, Noiva N. (G), Tiivola P. (A), Juhola P. (A2)
- 11:36, Svensk V. (2 min),
- 19:32, 2 - 4, Martel D. (G), Knihti F. (A),
- 19:39, Heikkila J. (2 min),
- 19:43, 2 - 5, Maatta R. (G), Martel D. (A), Jarvinen J. (A2)
Chances of winning
SaiPa
46.7% | Draw
23.1% | Ässät
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
SaiPa - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.47) |
4.14 ↓
(4.34) |
3.1 ↑
(2.36) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for SaiPa - Ässät?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- SaiPa could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:55. (average 2.6:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 2.6:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Ässät?
SaiPa has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against SaiPa?
Ässät has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Ässät were as follows:
21.10.2025
Ässät
-
SaiPa
3:2
01.08.2025
SaiPa
-
Ässät
2:1
01.02.2025
Ässät
-
SaiPa
2:3
14.12.2024
SaiPa
-
Ässät
6:1
02.11.2024
SaiPa
-
Ässät
4:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
