Result
1:4
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 2.81 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 39 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.35% (1/23) | 10.26% (4/39) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 92.11% (35/38) | 95.65% (22/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 58.73 | 41.27 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 07:23, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 15:17, 0 - 1, Kivenmaki O. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:10, 1 - 1, Somppi O. (G), Arkko V. (A), Hartikainen S. (A2)
- 07:07, Fortier M. (2 min),
- 12:18, Kohonen P. ↓, Hovinen N. ↑,
- 12:18, Palmu P. (2 min),
- 12:18, Tauslahti M. (2 min),
- 13:53, Marleau V. (2 min),
- 19:22, 1 - 2, Niinisaari S. (G), Siikanen P. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 05:09, 1 - 3, Tauslahti M. (G), Salminen S. (A), Bau S. (A2)
- 17:36, 1 - 4, Fortier M. (G),
Chances of winning
HIFK
32.3% | Draw
22.6% | SaiPa
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
HIFK - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↓
(2.98) |
4.17 ↑
(4.15) |
2.09 ↑
(2.06) |
5.8%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for HIFK - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 0.
- HIFK is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SaiPa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, SaiPa has had a series of home games.
- SaiPa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:56. (average 3.1:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 3.1:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against SaiPa?
HIFK has won 8 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against HIFK?
SaiPa has won 10 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - SaiPa were as follows:
29.08.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
6:2
02.04.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
6:2
29.03.2025
HIFK
-
SaiPa
0:2
28.03.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
2:1
26.03.2025
HIFK
-
SaiPa
1:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
