Result
5:3
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 3.43 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 18.52% (5/27) | 11.11% (3/27) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.89% (24/27) | 84.62% (22/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 70% (7/10) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.39 | 48.61 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 08:26, 1 - 0, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Aho K. (A2)
- 10:16, 2 - 0, Tauslahti M. (G), Heikkila J. (A), Appelgren N. (A2)
- 11:19, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
- 12:29, Lindbohm P. (2 min),
- 13:27, 3 - 0, Siikanen P. (G), Fortier M. (A), Nikkanen H. (A2)
- 15:08, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 15:08, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
- 16:42, Marleau V. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:58, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
- 07:38, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
- 13:54, Sund T. (2 min),
- 14:08, Pakarinen I. (Penalty Shot),
- 16:12, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 17:41, 4 - 0, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Siikanen P. (A2)
- 19:23, Tauslahti M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 10:48, 4 - 1, Mieho P. (G), Palmu P. (A), Somppi O. (A2)
- 13:05, 4 - 2, Kodytek P. (G), Lehtera J. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
- 13:59, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
- 16:23, 4 - 3, Makiaho D. (G), Sund T. (A), Kiviharju A. (A2)
- 17:50, (2 min),
- 19:41, 5 - 3, Heikkila J. (G),
Chances of winning
SaiPa
49.5% | Draw
22.5% | HIFK
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
SaiPa - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.78) |
4.15 ↓
(4.22) |
3.34 ↓
(3.59) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for SaiPa - HIFK?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). HIFK will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 3rd Period - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- SaiPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, SaiPa is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:49. (average 3:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 2.5:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against HIFK?
SaiPa has won 12 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against SaiPa?
HIFK has won 8 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - HIFK were as follows:
25.10.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
3:0
20.09.2025
HIFK
-
SaiPa
1:4
29.08.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
6:2
02.04.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
6:2
29.03.2025
HIFK
-
SaiPa
0:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
