Result
2:5
04/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 2.31 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 21.74% (5/23) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (18/21) | 90% (18/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 41 | 22 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 65.08 | 34.92 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 09:00, 0 - 1, Tauslahti M. (G), Salminen S. (A), Bau S. (A2)
- 12:39, 1 - 1, Repo S. (G), Lindbohm P. (A), Ashbrook T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 06:39, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 08:45, 1 - 2, Kivihalme T. (G), Tauslahti M. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
- 10:24, Jalasti B. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 00:14, Salminen S. (2 min),
- 06:14, 1 - 3, Nikkanen H. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
- 18:09, 2 - 3, Vanhatalo L. (G), Somervuori J. (A), Pakarinen I. (A2)
- 18:48, 2 - 4, Kramer B. (G), Fortier M. (A),
- 19:59, 2 - 5, Kivenmaki O. (G),
Chances of winning
HIFK
34.8% | Draw
22.3% | SaiPa
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
HIFK - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(3.04) |
4.18
(4.18) |
2.2 ↑
(1.99) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 0.
- HIFK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SaiPa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- HIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.2.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:64. (average 2.4:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 2.6:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against SaiPa?
HIFK has won 8 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against HIFK?
SaiPa has won 13 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - SaiPa were as follows:
14.02.2026
SaiPa
-
HIFK
5:3
25.10.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
3:0
20.09.2025
HIFK
-
SaiPa
1:4
29.08.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
6:2
02.04.2025
SaiPa
-
HIFK
6:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
