Result
4:1
17/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.87 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 3.57% (1/28) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.43% (27/28) | 84% (21/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 08:42, 0 - 1, Kalapudas A. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Kramer B. (A2)
- 08:56, Kalapudas A. (2 min),
- 10:18, Trejbal O. (2 min),
- 12:15, Henman L. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 02:27, 1 - 1, Engberg T. (G),
- 03:02, 2 - 1, Nattinen J. (G), Bjorkqvist K. (A), Utunen T. (A2)
- 03:16, 3 - 1, Ratinen S. (G), Johansson S. (A),
- 11:34, 4 - 1, Borg E. (G), Engberg T. (A), Utunen T. (A2)
- 11:34, Grigals G. ↓, Piiroinen K. ↑,
- 17:21, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
- 17:21, Mantykivi M. (2 min),
- 17:50, Nattinen J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 08:31, Klintrup E. (2 min),
- 16:32, Engberg T. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ilves
54.2% | Draw
21.2% | SaiPa
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Ilves - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.73) |
4.37 ↑
(4.26) |
3.78 ↓
(3.84) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Ilves - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 4.
- Ilves is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- SaiPa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- SaiPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ilves is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 75:44. (average 3.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:15. (average 3.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against SaiPa?
Ilves has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Ilves?
SaiPa has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - SaiPa were as follows:
31.10.2025
SaiPa
-
Ilves
5:2
01.03.2025
SaiPa
-
Ilves
3:6
09.12.2024
Ilves
-
SaiPa
2:1
23.02.2024
Ilves
-
SaiPa
5:2
28.12.2023
SaiPa
-
Ilves
0:3
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 1 : 1 |
