Sakaryaspor vs Amed SK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Sakaryaspor - Amed SK
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 6
  • Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.23
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
72% (194/271)79% (357/450)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.351.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.751.00
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1321
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
72% (194/271)79% (357/450)
Long passes
33% (19/58)38% (25/65)
Passes in final third
54% (49/91)61% (68/111)
Crosses
21% (3/14)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.29
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1514
Tackles
100% (7/7)93% (13/14)
Duels won
3651
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.001.75
Goals prevented
0.00-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Diagne M. , Fernando Andrade (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Kakuta G. , Erkin C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Demir E. 🟨,
  • 65', Diagne M. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Kakuta G. (Pen),
  • 71', Moreno D. , Bassan E. ,
  • 71', Fernando Andrade , Afena-Gyan F. ,
  • 72', Aydin O. , Kara A. ,
  • 74', Cihan M. , Erdogan E. ,
  • 79', Demir E. , Altiparmak B. ,
  • 79', Kakuta G. , Ben Yedder W. ,
  • 86', Kurt S. , Cekdar O. ,
  • 90+2', Saba D. , Kouyate C. ,
  • 90+4', Coban B. , Akuazaoku U. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sakaryaspor
21.5%
Draw
25.8%
Amed SK
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.1% 22.3% 61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5% 21.5% 63.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.
  • Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amed SK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amed SK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sakaryaspor - Amed SK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.32
    (5.74)
    3.61
    (4.15)
    1.77
    (1.5)
    7.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Amed SK?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Amed will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Sakaryaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Amed is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Amed is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Amed: Kaldirim H. A. (Injury) Sapan V. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Ciftpinar S. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Amed SK were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Amed SK - Sakaryaspor 2:2
    28.08.2024 Sakaryaspor - Amed SK 0:0
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    15.09.2025 Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor 1:1
    30.08.2025 Sakaryaspor - Boluspor 1:4
    23.08.2025 Bodrumspor - Sakaryaspor 3:1
    17.08.2025 Sakaryaspor - Igdirspor 3:2
    Latest results of Amed SK
    14.09.2025 Amed SK - Pendikspor 2:1
    31.08.2025 Adana Demirspor - Amed SK 1:8
    24.08.2025 Amed SK - Sivasspor 4:2
    18.08.2025 Amed SK - Erzurumspor 2:2
    10.08.2025 Çorum - Amed SK 2:0
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erokspor961227:111619
    2Corum953115:8718
    3Bodrumspor852119:81117
    4Pendikspor843115:8715
    5Erzurumspor835015:8714
    6Igdir FK842214:11314
    7Amedspor841319:13613
    8Boluspor933315:13212
    9Vanspor FK83328:6212
    10Serik Spor83328:12-412
    11Bandirmaspor832312:10211
    12Istanbulspor AS825110:9111
    13Keciorengucu82429:8110
    14Sivasspor823310:919
    15Sakaryaspor823310:16-69
    16Manisa FK922513:19-68
    17Umraniyespor82245:11-68
    18Sariyer81166:12-64
    19Hatayspor80359:20-113
    20Adana Demirspor80174:31-27-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation