Erzurumspor vs Amed SK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 21
  • Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.420.75
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
52
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
17
Passes
86% (449/524)81% (303/374)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.420.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.180.14
Total shots
109
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
44
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
107
Passes
86% (449/524)81% (303/374)
Long passes
51% (38/75)46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
57% (54/94)69% (73/106)
Crosses
46% (6/13)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.55
Throw ins
2019
Fouls
710
Tackles
71% (12/17)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5039
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.140.18
Goals prevented
0.14-1.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Demirtas K. 🟨,
  • 38', Ucar M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', 1 - 0, Tozlu E. , Crociata G. (A),
  • 64', Tozlu E. 🟨,
  • 65', Akgun S. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 73', Afena-Gyan F. , Fernando Andrade ,
  • 73', Fettahoglu M. , Bayrak C. ,
  • 74', Keser B. , Sylla C. ,
  • 80', Demirtas K. 🟨,
  • 84', Crociata G. , Kabak A. ,
  • 85', Tozlu E. , Yener H. ,
  • 85', Poko A. , Serbest T. ,
  • 85', Saba D. , Hanalp C. ,
  • 90+1', Ucar M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Baiye B. , Sylla C. (A),
  • 90+8', Sylla C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzurumspor
36.5%
Draw
30.9%
Amed SK
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 30.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8% 30.1% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Amed SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Erzurumspor - Amed SK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.66)
    2.93
    (3.08)
    2.82
    (2.66)
    9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Amed SK?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Erzurumspor (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Erzurumspor (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 3.
    • Erzurumspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Amed is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Amed may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Amed SK were as follows:
    18.08.2025 Amed SK - Erzurumspor 2:2
    16.03.2025 Amed SK - Erzurumspor 0:1
    03.11.2024 Erzurumspor - Amed SK 2:0
    Latest results of Erzurumspor
    11.01.2026 Sivasspor - Erzurumspor 0:2
    28.12.2025 Erzurumspor - Çorum 1:0
    23.12.2025 Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor 3:1
    Latest results of Amed SK
    09.01.2026 Amed SK - Çorum 1:0
    28.12.2025 Amed SK - Igdirspor 3:0
    22.12.2025 Bodrumspor - Amed SK 0:0
    13.12.2025 Amed SK - Bandırmaspor 2:1
    06.12.2025 Umraniyespor - Amed SK 3:4
    Turkish First League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor382312382:275581
    2Amedspor382111681:423974
    3Erokspor382111681:354674
    4Corum38218963:392471
    5Bodrumspor3818101071:393264
    6Pendikspor381615758:332563
    7Keciorengucu3816121073:433060
    8Bandirmaspor3816121047:341360
    9Manisa FK381671557:56155
    10Sivasspor3814111347:43453
    11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:55252
    12Sariyer381571644:44052
    13Igdir FK3813111452:54-250
    14Vanspor FK3813101552:47549
    15Boluspor381461861:57448
    16Umraniyespor381371847:51-446
    17Serik Spor381162144:75-3139
    18Sakaryaspor388102045:72-2734
    19Hatayspor38282833:102-6914
    20Adana Demirspor38133422:169-147-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation