Result
3:3
22/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 14
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (317/388) | 82% (353/433) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (317/388) | 82% (353/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (36/64) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (66/96) | 71% (87/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 38', 1 - 0, Gultekin E. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Ben Yedder W. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 2 - 1, Gultekin E. (Pen),
- 60', Mamadou M. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 2, Dursun S. ⚽, Cihan M. (A),
- 62', Cihan M. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
- 72', Sambissa D. ↓, Sahin C. ↑,
- 72', Mermerci D. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
- 75', Kakuta G. ↓, Akuazaoku U. ↑,
- 75', Coban B. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
- 86', Krstovski M. ↓, Sandikci E. ↑,
- 86', Gultekin E. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
- 89', Ben Yedder W. ↓, Kobiljar R. ↑,
- 89', Erkin C. ↓, Okumus A. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Yavuz S. (A),
- 90+6', 3 - 3, Duymaz O. F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
İstanbulspor
44.1% | Draw
25.4% | Sakaryaspor
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.1) |
3.66 ↓
(3.73) |
3.01 ↓
(3.02) |
8.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor?
Users Predictions:
İstanbulspor will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).
- İstanbulspor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Sakaryaspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- İstanbulspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- İstanbulspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbulspor won against Sakaryaspor?
İstanbulspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against İstanbulspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
06.03.2025
İstanbulspor
-
Sakaryaspor
3:0
20.10.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
İstanbulspor
3:1
Latest results of İstanbulspor
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
