Result
3:1
31/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 31
- Referee: Tonusluoglu D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (265/374) | 65% (211/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (265/374) | 65% (211/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 28% (19/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (42/91) | 45% (34/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.67 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 86% (18/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Coban B. ⚽,
- 15', Kakuta G. ↓, Ozegovic O. ↑,
- 22', 1 - 1, Marcao ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 1, Yalcin S. ⚽, Oguz A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Marcao ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
- 68', Mamadou M. 🟨,
- 71', Yavuz S. ↓, Erturk M. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 1, Caglayan O. ⚽, Yalcin S. (A),
- 79', Uzun B. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
- 79', Aabid R. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
- 83', Oguz A. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
- 83', Mendes R. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
- 83', Vukovic J. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
- 85', Coban B. 🟨,
- 85', Cinan M. 🟨,
- 87', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 88', Rivas R. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
- 90+4', Alici B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kocaelispor 59.3% | Draw 24.5% | Sakaryaspor 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)
Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↓ (1.73) |
3.8 ↑ (3.59) |
5.72 ↑ (4.44) |
7.6% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor?
Users Predictions:
Kocaelispor will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 15).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Celik C.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Sakaryaspor?
Kocaelispor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Kocaelispor?
Sakaryaspor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
10.11.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Kocaelispor
0:1
11.05.2024
Kocaelispor
-
Sakaryaspor
0:2
23.12.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Kocaelispor
3:1
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Pendikspor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:40 | -36 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation