Result
3:2
15/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 26
- Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (202/301) | 77% (332/429) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 58% (57/98) | 66% (124/188) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 25% (8/32) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 50% (5/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 48 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', Njoh L. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Zanon S. ⚽,
- 37', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Finotto M. ⚽, Schiavi N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Caligara F. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
- 46', Stojanovic P. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 0, Zuelli E. ⚽, Cicconi M. (A),
- 55', Cerri L. 🟨,
- 57', Cerri L. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
- 57', Tongya F. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
- 63', 3 - 1, Reine-Adelaide J. ⚽, Bronn D. (A),
- 70', Raimondo A. ↓, Simy ↑,
- 73', Zuelli E. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 74', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 74', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 85', Amatucci L. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Soriano R. ⚽,
- 88', Cherubini L. ↓, Capezzi L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
37.1% | Draw
32.4% | Salernitana
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+2%)
Carrarese - Salernitana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.43) |
2.93 ↓
(3.05) |
3.11 ↑
(2.97) |
5.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Salernitana?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Salernitana will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Carrarese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Salernitana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Carrarese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M.
(Knock)
Coppolaro M.
(Knee Injury)
Shpendi S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Salernitana: Reine-Adelaide J.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Salernitana to win the game is with odds 3.07.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Salernitana?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Carrarese?
Salernitana has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Salernitana were as follows:
01.12.2024
Salernitana
-
Carrarese
4:1
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Salernitana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
