Carlisle United vs Salford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Brunton Park (Carlisle).

League Two - Round 46
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	1.48
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
8	16
Shots on target
3	8
Big Chances
4	4
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
74% (287/388)	71% (210/297)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	1.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.56	2.47
Total shots
8	16
Shots on target
3	8
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
5	11
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
4	4
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
12	42
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	11
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
74% (287/388)	71% (210/297)
Long passes
46% (42/92)	38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
53% (52/99)	66% (105/158)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	1.15
Throw-ins
12	24
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
63% (19/30)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
73	62
Clearances
50	24
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
2.47	1.56
Goals prevented
0.46	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Wearne S. ⚽, Fusire S. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Dennis M. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
25', Ashley O. ↓, Warrington L. ↑,
36', 2 - 1, Stockton C. ⚽, Woodburn B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garbutt L. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
62', 2 - 2, Adelakun H. ⚽, N'Mai K. (A),
63', Fusire S. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
64', Dennis M. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
71', Thomas T. 🟨,
73', Whelan C. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
74', Harris K. ↓, Dummett P. ↑,
88', Woodburn B. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
89', Austerfield J. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
90+3', Kelly G. 🟨,
90+4', Wearne S. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Carlisle United
20.5%

Draw
22.9%

Salford City
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

25.9%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

25.6%

52.3%

Carlisle United - Salford City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (4.17)	4.1 ↑ (3.61)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)	6.3% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Salford City?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Salford will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.75 - Carlisle (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Salford City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Salford (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Carlisle is Relegated to National League
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
In this match, Salford is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A. (Injury) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
There will not play in Salford: Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Kouassi K. (Injury) Negru S. (Inactive) Okoronkwo F. (Injury)
There are questionable in Carlisle: Lavelle S. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Salford City?

Carlisle United has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Carlisle United?

Salford City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Salford City were as follows:

09.11.2024 Salford City - Carlisle United 0:1

19.11.2022 Salford City - Carlisle United 1:4

Latest results of Carlisle United

26.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Carlisle United 3:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United 1:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Carlisle United - Port Vale 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Carlisle United - Newport County 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Salford City

26.04.2025 Salford City - Colchester United 4:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Morecambe - Salford City 1:3 ✺

18.04.2025 Salford City - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Salford City - Doncaster Rovers 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Notts County - Salford City 1:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	30	18	8	4	54:32	22	62
2	Notts Co	30	17	6	7	46:30	16	57
3	Cambridge Utd	30	16	8	6	42:24	18	56
4	Swindon	30	17	4	9	50:34	16	55
5	MK Dons	30	15	9	6	59:33	26	54
6	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
7	Walsall	30	14	7	9	38:31	7	49
8	Chesterfield	30	12	12	6	49:41	8	48
9	Crewe	31	13	8	10	47:38	9	47
10	Barnet	30	12	10	8	40:31	9	46
11	Colchester	29	12	9	8	43:31	12	45
12	Grimsby	29	12	9	8	41:32	9	45
13	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
14	Gillingham	29	10	11	8	40:36	4	41
15	Fleetwood	29	10	7	12	38:39	-1	37
16	Oldham	28	8	11	9	28:29	-1	35
17	Tranmere	30	8	8	14	43:51	-8	32
18	Cheltenham	29	9	3	17	29:51	-22	30
19	Bristol Rovers	30	8	3	19	28:50	-22	27
20	Crawley	31	6	8	17	32:51	-19	26
21	Shrewsbury	30	6	8	16	25:50	-25	26
22	Barrow	29	6	6	17	30:46	-16	24
23	Newport	29	5	6	18	29:54	-25	21
24	Harrogate	31	5	6	20	22:50	-28	21

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League