Result
2:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (287/388) | 71% (210/297) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (287/388) | 71% (210/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (42/92) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (52/99) | 66% (105/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (19/30) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Wearne S. ⚽, Fusire S. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Dennis M. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
- 25', Ashley O. ↓, Warrington L. ↑,
- 36', 2 - 1, Stockton C. ⚽, Woodburn B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Garbutt L. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 2, Adelakun H. ⚽, N'Mai K. (A),
- 63', Fusire S. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
- 64', Dennis M. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 71', Thomas T. 🟨,
- 73', Whelan C. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
- 74', Harris K. ↓, Dummett P. ↑,
- 88', Woodburn B. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 89', Austerfield J. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
- 90+3', Kelly G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Wearne S. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
20.5% | Draw
22.9% | Salford City
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Carlisle United - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.61 ↑
(4.17) |
4.1 ↑
(3.61) |
1.66 ↓
(1.81) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Salford City?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Salford will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 58.6% – 97%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Carlisle (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Salford City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Salford (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Carlisle is Relegated to National League
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Salford is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Salford: Chesters D.
(Knee Injury)
Kouassi K.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
Okoronkwo F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Carlisle: Lavelle S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Salford City?
Carlisle United has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Carlisle United?
Salford City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Salford City were as follows:
09.11.2024
Salford City
-
Carlisle United
0:1
19.11.2022
Salford City
-
Carlisle United
1:4
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
