Salford City vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 18
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.61
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
124
Passes
64% (181/283)75% (264/353)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.041.61
xG on target (xGOT)
4.031.86
Total shots
1715
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
3321
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
814
Passes
64% (181/283)75% (264/353)
Long passes
27% (19/70)30% (20/66)
Passes in final third
55% (72/131)57% (59/104)
Crosses
26% (7/27)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.170.40
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
148
Tackles
55% (11/20)53% (10/19)
Duels won
6057
Clearances
2656
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.864.03
Goals prevented
-0.140.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Watson L. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Oluwo A. (Own goal),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Oluwo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 47', McKirdy H. (Pen),
  • 53', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Butcher M. , Grant J. (A),
  • 55', Oluwo A. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Forster H. ,
  • 61', Mnoga H. , Cesay K. ,
  • 61', Butcher M. , Austerfield J. ,
  • 64', McKirdy H. , Roles J. ,
  • 64', Adeyemo A. , Pereira D. ,
  • 64', Flower L. , Dixon K. ,
  • 69', Stockton C. , Borini F. ,
  • 72', 2 - 3, Williams J. , Roles J. (A),
  • 85', 3 - 3, Austerfield J. , Harris K. (A),
  • 86', 4 - 3, Cesay K. , Austerfield J. (A),
  • 90', Harris K. , Berkoe K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Salford City
52.6%
Draw
24.2%
Crawley Town
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 23% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 22.5% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Salford City - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.71)
    3.91
    (4.04)
    4.03
    (4.08)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Salford City - Crawley Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Salford City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Salford is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Bird J. (Inactive) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Edwards T. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury) Woodburn B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Crawley: Barker C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Anderson M. (Thigh Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Crawley Town were as follows:
    13.01.2024 Crawley Town - Salford City 0:1
    12.08.2023 Salford City - Crawley Town 1:1
    28.01.2023 Crawley Town - Salford City 3:2
    03.09.2022 Salford City - Crawley Town 2:2
    Latest results of Salford City
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League