Result
3:3
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (160/271) | 71% (206/291) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (160/271) | 71% (206/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (29/78) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 37% (39/105) | 54% (61/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | -1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Woods J. ⚽, Whalley S. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Forster H. ⚽, Watson L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 1, Sinclair I. ⚽,
- 51', Richards L. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 57', Anderson M. ↓, Richards T. ↑,
- 58', Adeyemo T. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Richards T. ⚽, Russell J. (A),
- 64', 3 - 2, Woods J. ⚽,
- 71', 3 - 3, Williams J. ⚽,
- 90', Walton T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Butterfield L. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
- 90+8', Barker C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
32.9% | Draw
28% | Crawley Town
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crawley Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crawley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.49) |
3.35 ↑
(3.23) |
2.38 ↓
(2.73) |
6.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
- Accrington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Crawley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Crawley might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Crawley: Vassell T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Grant C.
(Inactive)
Heath I.
(Inactive)
Henderson A.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
Walton T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Bajrami G.
(Inactive)
Orsi-Dadomo D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Crawley Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Crawley Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town were as follows:
22.11.2025
Crawley Town
-
Accrington Stanley
1:1
24.02.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Crawley Town
0:1
11.11.2023
Crawley Town
-
Accrington Stanley
3:1
05.11.2022
Crawley Town
-
Accrington Stanley
1:4
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
