Result
1:0
28/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 40
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (196/331) | 51% (148/293) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (196/331) | 51% (148/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (20/90) | 21% (22/105) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (89/158) | 43% (55/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Crowley D. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 59', Kelly L. ↓, Sanders J. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Butcher M. ⚽, Udoh D. (A),
- 69', Udoh D. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
- 78', Collins A. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 79', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 85', Offord L. 🟥,
- 86', Mellish J. 🟨,
- 86', Graydon R. 🟨,
- 87', Jones G. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
- 90+1', Grant J. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
- 90+2', Gilbey A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Salford City 31.8% | Draw 28.3% | Milton Keynes Dons 39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↑ (2.77) |
3.32 ↓ (3.36) |
2.36 ↓ (2.39) |
6.8% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Salford: Ashley O.
(Inactive)
Bird J.
(Inactive)
Cesay K.
(Inactive)
Edwards T.
(Inactive)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
N'Mai K.
(Injury)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
Woodburn B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
Matete J.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Paterson C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Salford City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Salford City?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
15.11.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Salford City
2:0
04.01.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Salford City
0:1
02.09.2024
Salford City
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
09.03.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Salford City
3:1
25.11.2023
Salford City
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:4
Latest results of Salford City
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League