Result
2:0
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 16
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (210/333) | 70% (283/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (210/333) | 70% (283/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (29/82) | 34% (28/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (48/103) | 53% (73/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 76 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 61 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Collar W. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 66', Austerfield J. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
- 66', Cooper B. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
- 70', Sanders J. 🟨,
- 71', 🟨,
- 77', Tomlinson J. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
- 77', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 80', Cesay K. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
- 90+1', Turton O. ↓, Siri N. ↑,
- 90+2', Paterson C. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Gilbey A. (A),
- 90+5', Oluwo A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
43.4% | Draw
25.9% | Salford City
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.23) |
3.58 ↓
(3.72) |
3.07 ↑
(2.78) |
6.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Salford will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 50%). Salford (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Salford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 40%). Salford (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- MK Dons has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Salford is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Salford has had a series of home games.
- MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G.
(Hamstring Injury)
MacGillivray C.
(Injury)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Salford: Ashley O.
(Inactive)
Bird J.
(Inactive)
Chesters D.
(Knee Injury)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
Siri N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hogan S.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Salford City?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Salford City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City were as follows:
04.01.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Salford City
0:1
02.09.2024
Salford City
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
09.03.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Salford City
3:1
25.11.2023
Salford City
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:4
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
