Salisbury vs Hornchurch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League South Salisbury - Hornchurch
Result
3:3
25/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Keeya J. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Gibbs H. ,
  • 22', 1 - 2, Rees J. ,
  • 32', 1 - 3, Rees J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 3, Davies T. ,
  • 72', Foran T. 🟨,
  • 81', 3 - 3, Higgs T. ,

Chances of winning


Salisbury
33.6%
Draw
28%
Hornchurch
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 28.2% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 28.5% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salisbury's form might have worsened.
  • Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hornchurch's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salisbury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hornchurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Salisbury - Hornchurch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.35)
    3.28
    (3.25)
    2.39
    (2.78)
    8.9%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Salisbury - Hornchurch?
  • Users Predictions: Hornchurch will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Salisbury is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Hornchurch is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Salisbury - Hornchurch were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Hornchurch - Salisbury 1:1
    12.10.2024 Salisbury - Hornchurch 2:2
    Latest results of Salisbury
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hornchurch1073022:101224
    2Weston-super-Mare971116:51122
    3Torquay952219:13617
    4Maidenhead952214:8617
    5Hampton & Richmond944116:12416
    6AFC Totton951314:10416
    7Hemel Hempstead944110:6416
    8Dover1043317:15215
    9Dorking942312:11114
    10Chelmsford94239:10-114
    11Worthing933315:12312
    12Ebbsfleet93338:8012
    13Horsham FC932412:11111
    14Chesham92438:9-110
    15Tonbridge924311:15-410
    16Maidstone92438:12-410
    17Enfield Town92345:8-39
    18Bath92347:11-49
    19Slough923411:16-59
    20Farnborough922515:18-38
    21Dag & Red91449:17-87
    22Chippenham91268:15-75
    23Salisbury90545:12-75
    24Eastbourne Boro90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ National League
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          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation