Sámano vs UD Ourense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Nunez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 1 - 1, Jauregui X. ,

Chances of winning


Sámano
29.7%
Draw
32.5%
UD Ourense
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 30.1% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 29.8% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sámano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sámano - UD Ourense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (3.3)
    2.82
    (3)
    2.42
    (2.13)
    9.4%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Sámano is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • UD Ourense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • UD Ourense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • UD Ourense could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Sámano
    20.12.2025 Bergantiños - Sámano 1:0
    13.12.2025 Sámano - Langreo 1:2
    29.11.2025 Sámano - Rayo Cantabria 1:1
    23.11.2025 Coruxo - Sámano 4:1
    Latest results of UD Ourense
    21.12.2025 UD Ourense - Sarriana 1:0
    07.12.2025 UD Ourense - Numancia 0:3
    29.11.2025 Lealtad - UD Ourense 0:1
    23.11.2025 UD Ourense - Bergantiños 1:0
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oviedo B25157343:212252
    2Dep. Fabril25148341:162550
    3Gimnastica Segoviana24127528:22643
    4Coruxo FC25125833:25841
    5Salamanca25117733:27640
    6Numancia25116833:26739
    7UD Ourense25108726:26038
    8Real Avila25107835:38-337
    9Bergantinos2598829:27235
    10Marino de Luanco2489720:14633
    11Atl. Astorga25961028:30-233
    12Rayo Cantabria25514639:33629
    13Valladolid Promesas25771141:44-328
    14Sarriana25841330:33-328
    15Langreo25681121:30-926
    16Lealtad25561419:33-1421
    17Burgos CF B25491227:44-1721
    18UD Samano25261717:54-3712

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