Result
4:3
08/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 05:13, 1 - 0, Starovoitov A. (G),
- 16:38, 1 - 1, Ilyin A. (G), Meier D. (A), Zhomov A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 04:06, 1 - 2, Borodin N. (G), Polyakov I. (A),
- 07:34, 2 - 2, Starovoitov A. (G), Firsov M. (A), Busygin M. (A2)
- 15:35, 3 - 2, Starovoitov A. (G),
- 18:01, 3 - 3, Filonov D. (G), Shakirov R. (A), Zhomov A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 11:09, 4 - 3, Abdullin L. (G), Busygin M. (A), Aplin T. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ermak Angarsk 71.2% | Draw 16.1% | Samara 12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ermak Angarsk's performance.Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ermak Angarsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ermak Angarsk - Samara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.28 ↓ (1.4) |
5.65 ↑ (5) |
7.17 ↑ (5.45) |
9.8% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Ermak is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Ermak is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Samara's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ermak is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Ermak will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ermak won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ermak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ermak Angarsk won against Samara?
Ermak Angarsk has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samara won against Ermak Angarsk?
Samara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ermak Angarsk - Samara were as follows:
07.03.2026
Ermak Angarsk
-
Samara
3:2
28.10.2025
Samara
-
Ermak Angarsk
2:1
27.10.2025
Samara
-
Ermak Angarsk
3:5
Latest results of Ermak Angarsk
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | MHK Ryazan (1) | HC Krasnodar (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Bobrov (4) | Sokol Novocheboksarsk (5) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Yermak Angarsk (2) | Progress Glazov (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Dizelist (3) | Kristall BDK (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Buran Moscow (1) | Fakel (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Dinamo 576 (4) | Metallurg Cherepovets (5) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Kaluga (2) | Voevoda Podolsk (7) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Granit (3) | Polot (6) | 2 : 1 |