Guidonia Montecelio vs Sambenedettese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
49
Shots on target
22
Corner kicks
55
Yellow cards
51
Red cards
10
Total shots
49
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
27
Corner kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Pezzola L. , Alfieri V. ,
  • 45+1', Spavone A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Errico A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Eusepi U. ,
  • 56', Starita E. , Zuppel D. ,
  • 56', Spavone A. , Tounkara M. ,
  • 56', Viteritti O. , Zappella D. ,
  • 60', Sannipoli D. , Tascone S. ,
  • 71', Tounkara M. 🟨,
  • 78', Tounkara M. 🟨,
  • 79', Errico A. , Vitturini D. ,
  • 80', Cultraro G. 🟨,
  • 90', Stoppa M. , Konate A. ,
  • 90', Marranzino P. , Maspero A. ,
  • 90+7', Tessiore A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
37.2%
Draw
32.5%
Sambenedettese
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 30.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 26.8% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Sambenedettese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.21)
    2.81
    (2.97)
    3.03
    (3.27)
    9.2%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Guidonia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sambenedettese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Guidonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guidonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Sambenedettese were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio 0:1
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Sambenedettese
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo31217354:203470
    2Ascoli31198455:203565
    3Ravenna32187745:301561
    4Pineto31139941:38348
    5Campobasso31148943:35848
    6Pianese311014733:30344
    7Juventus U23311281139:38144
    8Gubbio311013828:26243
    9Vis Pesaro311013832:29343
    10Ternana31139937:31643
    11Livorno321071533:46-1337
    12Guidonia318121125:28-336
    13Forli31981438:46-835
    14Carpi328101430:42-1234
    15Perugia317111332:38-632
    16Torres325161128:41-1331
    17Sambenedettese326111525:34-929
    18Bra315111532:49-1726
    19Pontedera313101826:55-2919
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation