Guidonia Montecelio vs Sambenedettese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Guidonia Montecelio
41.1%
Draw
30.8%
Sambenedettese
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 30.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 26.8% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • The chances for Sambenedettese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guidonia Montecelio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Guidonia Montecelio - Sambenedettese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.21)
    2.96
    (2.97)
    3.26
    (3.27)
    9.5%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Guidonia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sambenedettese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sambenedettese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Guidonia has had a series of home games.
    • Guidonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guidonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guidonia Montecelio - Sambenedettese were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio 0:1
    Latest results of Guidonia Montecelio
    Latest results of Sambenedettese
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo27196247:173063
    2Ascoli28168449:193056
    3Ravenna28175641:261556
    4Campobasso28128840:34642
    5Ternana27128734:27739
    6Juventus U23271161033:31239
    7Pianese28912730:28239
    8Pineto27109834:33139
    9Gubbio27812722:20236
    10Livorno281051329:39-1035
    11Forli27961233:38-533
    12Vis Pesaro27712826:27-133
    13Guidonia27711923:25-232
    14Carpi28881225:35-1032
    15Bra285111230:41-1126
    16Sambenedettese285101323:31-825
    17Torres284131122:36-1425
    18Perugia27591326:34-824
    19Pontedera27391523:49-2618
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation