Sambenedettese vs Vis Pesaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
20
Total shots
410
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Stabile D. P. 🟨,
  • 38', Battista N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Di Renzo G. , Di Paola M. ,
  • 49', Battista N. 🟨,
  • 55', Stabile D. P. , Berengo N. ,
  • 56', Vezzoni F. 🟨,
  • 58', Marranzino P. , Toure N. ,
  • 58', Eusepi U. , Alfieri V. ,
  • 69', Bove D. 🟨,
  • 74', 0 - 1, Primasso A. ,
  • 77', Alfieri V. 🟥,
  • 78', Giovannini R. , Nina C. ,
  • 88', Piccoli M. , Sbaffo A. ,
  • 88', Toure M. , Bongelli R. ,
  • 89', 0 - 2, Primasso A. ,
  • 90+4', Nicastro F. , Ventre A. ,
  • 90+5', Paganini L. , Ascione S. ,
  • 90+5', Sbaffo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sambenedettese
40.8%
Draw
31%
Vis Pesaro
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 26.7% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 26.2% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vis Pesaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vis Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.38)
    2.96
    (3.44)
    3.27
    (2.66)
    8.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 3.
    • Sambenedettese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Vis Pesaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sambenedettese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sambenedettese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro 2:0
    Latest results of Sambenedettese
    14.12.2025 Pontedera - Sambenedettese 1:1
    30.11.2025 Arezzo - Sambenedettese 1:0
    26.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Brescia 1:3
    23.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Pineto 1:1
    15.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Ternana 0:0
    Latest results of Vis Pesaro
    15.12.2025 Vis Pesaro - Ravenna 1:0
    08.12.2025 Carpi - Vis Pesaro 1:1
    01.12.2025 Vis Pesaro - Ascoli 1:1
    24.11.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo27196247:173063
    2Ascoli28168449:193056
    3Ravenna28175641:261556
    4Campobasso28128840:34642
    5Ternana27128734:27739
    6Juventus U23271161033:31239
    7Pianese28912730:28239
    8Pineto27109834:33139
    9Gubbio27812722:20236
    10Livorno281051329:39-1035
    11Forli27961233:38-533
    12Vis Pesaro27712826:27-133
    13Guidonia27711923:25-232
    14Carpi28881225:35-1032
    15Bra285111230:41-1126
    16Sambenedettese285101323:31-825
    17Torres284131122:36-1425
    18Perugia27591326:34-824
    19Pontedera27391523:49-2618
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation