Sambenedettese vs Vis Pesaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
20/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
410
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
20
Total shots
410
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Stabile D. P. 🟨,
  • 38', Battista N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Di Renzo G. , Di Paola M. ,
  • 49', Battista N. 🟨,
  • 55', Stabile D. P. , Berengo N. ,
  • 56', Vezzoni F. 🟨,
  • 58', Marranzino P. , Toure N. ,
  • 58', Eusepi U. , Alfieri V. ,
  • 69', Bove D. 🟨,
  • 74', 0 - 1, Primasso A. ,
  • 77', Alfieri V. 🟥,
  • 78', Giovannini R. , Nina C. ,
  • 88', Piccoli M. , Sbaffo A. ,
  • 88', Toure M. , Bongelli R. ,
  • 89', 0 - 2, Primasso A. ,
  • 90+4', Nicastro F. , Ventre A. ,
  • 90+5', Paganini L. , Ascione S. ,
  • 90+5', Sbaffo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sambenedettese
40.8%
Draw
31%
Vis Pesaro
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 26.7% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 26.2% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vis Pesaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vis Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.38)
    2.96
    (3.44)
    3.27
    (2.66)
    8.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 3.
    • Sambenedettese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Vis Pesaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sambenedettese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sambenedettese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro 2:0
    Latest results of Sambenedettese
    14.12.2025 Pontedera - Sambenedettese 1:1
    30.11.2025 Arezzo - Sambenedettese 1:0
    26.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Brescia 1:3
    23.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Pineto 1:1
    15.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Ternana 0:0
    Latest results of Vis Pesaro
    15.12.2025 Vis Pesaro - Ravenna 1:0
    08.12.2025 Carpi - Vis Pesaro 1:1
    01.12.2025 Vis Pesaro - Ascoli 1:1
    24.11.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo34228457:223574
    2Ascoli34228462:224074
    3Ravenna35217749:301970
    4Campobasso341510947:371053
    5Juventus U23341491144:41351
    6Pineto3413111041:39250
    7Vis Pesaro3411131036:32446
    8Pianese341016834:33146
    9Ternana3413111041:36545
    10Gubbio3410141029:32-344
    11Livorno351171737:51-1440
    12Guidonia348141228:32-438
    13Carpi349101532:45-1337
    14Perugia348131337:42-537
    15Forli34991639:51-1236
    16Torres346171131:42-1135
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra346131534:50-1631
    19Pontedera343112026:58-3220
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation