Result
2:3
26/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Zini A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Berengo N. ↓, Jallow S. ↑,
- 46', Tonucci D. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 1, Paganini L. ⚽,
- 56', Giovannini R. 🟨,
- 64', Giovannini R. ↓, Vezzoni F. ↑,
- 77', Di Renzo G. ↓, Ventre A. ↑,
- 78', Alfieri V. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
- 88', Eusepi U. ↓, Semprini M. ↑,
- 88', Dalmazzi A. ↓, Gigante G. ↑,
- 88', Marranzino P. ↓, Lonardo E. ↑,
- 89', Tonucci D. ↓, Barranco G. ↑,
- 89', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Paganini L. ⚽,
- 90+7', Paganini L. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Lonardo E. ⚽,
- 90+9', 2 - 3, Toure M. ⚽,
- 90+10', 🟨,
- 90+10', Zini A. 🟥,
- 90+11', Lonardo E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vis Pesaro
25.5% | Draw
27% | Sambenedettese
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vis Pesaro's performance.Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sambenedettese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vis Pesaro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vis Pesaro - Sambenedettese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↓
(4.63) |
3.4 ↓
(3.73) |
1.93 ↑
(1.66) |
9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vis Pesaro - Sambenedettese?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sambenedettese will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 2.
- Vis Pesaro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sambenedettese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sambenedettese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sambenedettese is a strong favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Vis Pesaro won against Sambenedettese?
Vis Pesaro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sambenedettese won against Vis Pesaro?
Sambenedettese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vis Pesaro - Sambenedettese were as follows:
20.12.2025
Sambenedettese
-
Vis Pesaro
0:2
16.08.2025
Sambenedettese
-
Vis Pesaro
2:0
Latest results of Vis Pesaro
Latest results of Sambenedettese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 40 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 40 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 20 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 3 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 | Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 32 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | -35 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
