Progresso vs Sammaurese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group D Progresso - Sammaurese
Result
0:1
17/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group D - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Manuzzi R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Progresso
40.4%
Draw
31%
Sammaurese
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 32.1% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 30.4% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Progresso's form might have worsened.
  • Sammaurese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sammaurese's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sammaurese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Progresso - Sammaurese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (1.96)
    2.95
    (2.84)
    3.19
    (4.28)
    9.5%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Progresso - Sammaurese?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sammaurese (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Progresso won 0.
    • Recent matches Progresso is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sammaurese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Progresso is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Progresso won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Progresso won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progresso - Sammaurese were as follows:
    16.12.2023 Sammaurese - Progresso 1:0
    Latest results of Progresso
    12.04.2025 Lentigione - Progresso 3:0
    30.03.2025 Progresso - Fiorenzuola 1:2
    23.03.2025 Tau Altopascio - Progresso 1:1
    09.03.2025 Progresso - Corticella 4:0
    Latest results of Sammaurese
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1