Recanatese vs Sammaurese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 19

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, ,
  • 26', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 75', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+7', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Recanatese
50.4%
Draw
26.2%
Sammaurese
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 26.9% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 25.8% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Recanatese's performance.
  • Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sammaurese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recanatese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sammaurese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Recanatese - Sammaurese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.17)
    3.47
    (3.38)
    3.87
    (2.91)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Recanatese is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recanatese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recanatese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Recanatese - Sammaurese were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Sammaurese - Recanatese 1:4
    Latest results of Recanatese
    04.01.2026 Notaresco - Recanatese 2:0
    21.12.2025 Fossombrone - Recanatese 1:0
    14.12.2025 Recanatese - Teramo 1:2
    07.12.2025 Sora - Recanatese 1:2
    30.11.2025 Recanatese - Maceratese 2:2
    Latest results of Sammaurese
    04.01.2026 Sammaurese - Castelfidardo 3:1
    07.12.2025 Sammaurese - Ancona 0:3
    30.11.2025 L Aquila - Sammaurese 4:0
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare31227262:204273
    2Ancona31225455:213471
    3Teramo31209259:253469
    4Atletico Ascoli311411653:312253
    5L Aquila311471051:411049
    6Notaresco Calcio311211839:271247
    7Giulianova311015635:29645
    8Vigor Senigallia311112837:33445
    9Fossombrone3110101124:30-640
    10Unipomezia319111136:37-138
    11Maceratese311141642:44-237
    12Termoli30714924:26-235
    13Sora317111336:47-1132
    14Calcio Chieti315111526:53-2726
    15Recanatese31671833:55-2225
    16San Marino Calcio31671829:57-2825
    17Castelfidardo31652028:57-2923
    18Sammaurese30471928:64-3619

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation