Naval vs Samora Correia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
72
Red cards
01
Total shots
165
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
91
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 🟥,
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Naval
53.5%
Draw
27.7%
Samora Correia
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 26.7% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 27% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • The chances for Samora Correia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Naval - Samora Correia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.67)
    3.28
    (3.4)
    4.83
    (4.84)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Naval - Samora Correia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samora Correia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Naval is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Samora Correia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Naval is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - Samora Correia were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Samora Correia - Naval 1:1
    Latest results of Naval
    04.03.2026 Marinhense - Naval 2:1
    28.02.2026 Peniche - Naval 2:0
    22.02.2026 Naval - Oliveira Hospital 0:0
    08.02.2026 Naval - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    25.01.2026 União da Serra - Naval 2:0
    Latest results of Samora Correia
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache22155230:82250
    2SB Castelo Branco22133639:201942
    3Naval 189323125632:221041
    4Uniao Da Serra22117432:191340
    5Oliveira Hospital22108430:121838
    6Mortagua2296720:22-233
    7Os Marialvas2294930:26431
    8Peniche2276926:32-627
    9Lajense2368930:31-126
    10Fatima2267918:24-625
    11Marinhense2258915:28-1323
    12Electrico23541431:55-2419
    13Samora Correia22451314:29-1517
    14SC Lusitania23441521:40-1916

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