Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 🟥,
- 17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Naval
53.5% | Draw
27.7% | Samora Correia
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)The chances for Samora Correia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Naval - Samora Correia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.67) |
3.28 ↓
(3.4) |
4.83 ↓
(4.84) |
10.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Naval - Samora Correia?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samora Correia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Naval is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Samora Correia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Naval is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Naval won against Samora Correia?
Naval has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samora Correia won against Naval?
Samora Correia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - Samora Correia were as follows:
02.11.2025
Samora Correia
-
Naval
1:1
Latest results of Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
