Result
1:1
16/04/2023 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 30
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Finland | CMore, CMore Sport |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Romania | Orange Sport, Prima Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Live |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Lecce
51.5% | Draw
28.7% | Sampdoria
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Lecce - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.99) |
3.32 ↑
(3.22) |
4.78 ↑
(4.16) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lecce - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 53.6% – 86.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Lecce has the most likely position - 15 (31.83%), project points - 38, currently - 27, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (77.03%), project points - 23, currently - 15, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 52, small importance 19, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Lecce has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Lecce is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Sampdoria?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Lecce?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Sampdoria were as follows:
12.11.2022
Sampdoria
-
Lecce
0:2
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64:21 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:20 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Napoli | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37:19 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Como | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Juventus | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37:24 | 13 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Lazio | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Parma | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Torino | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 | Genoa | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 27 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 20:44 | -24 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
