Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        16/04/2023 at  06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 30
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 | 
|  Croatia | Arena Sport | 
|  Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 | 
|  Finland | CMore, CMore Sport | 
|  France | beIN Sports Max | 
|  Hungary | Sport 1 | 
|  Italy | Sky Sport | 
|  Poland | Eleven Sports 1 | 
|  Portugal | Sport TV | 
|  Romania | Orange Sport, Prima Sport 1 | 
|  Serbia | Arena Sport | 
|  Slovenia | Arena Sport | 
|  Sweden | CMore Live | 
|  United-kingdom | BT Sport | 
|  World | Setanta Sports Eurasia | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Lecce 51.5%
 | Draw 28.7%
 | Sampdoria 19.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Lecce - Sampdoria Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.86 ↓ (1.99)
 | 3.32 ↑ (3.22)
 | 4.78 ↑ (4.16)
 | 4.9% (5.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Lecce - Sampdoria?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            30 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 53.6% – 86.4%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Lecce has the most likely position - 15 (31.83%),  project points - 38,  currently - 27,  a small chance of relegated (9%),  a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%),  not chance of win league.
- Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (77.03%),  project points - 23,  currently - 15,  a very good chance of relegated (98%),  not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 52, small importance 19, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com) 
- Lecce has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
- Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
- In this match Lecce is a favorite.
 
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3. 
- Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Sampdoria?
                    
                    
                        
                            Lecce has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Lecce?
                    
                    
                        
                             Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Sampdoria were as follows:
                                                        
                                12.11.2022 
                                Sampdoria 
                                - 
                                Lecce 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Sampdoria                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Napoli | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 21 | 
| 2 | AS Roma | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 21 | 
| 3 | Inter | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 11 | 18 | 
| 4 | AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 | 
| 5 | Como | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 | 
| 6 | Bologna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 | 
| 7 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 | 
| 8 | Cremonese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 | 
| 9 | Atalanta | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 | 
| 10 | Sassuolo | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | 
| 11 | Lazio | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 12 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 | 
| 13 | Torino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 12 | 
| 14 | Cagliari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 | 
| 15 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 | 
| 17 | Pisa | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 | 
| 18 | Verona | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:14 | -9 | 5 | 
| 19 | Fiorentina | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 | 
| 20 | Genoa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 3 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B