Result
1:1
16/04/2023 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 30
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Finland | CMore, CMore Sport |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Sky Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Romania | Prima Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport |
 Sweden | CMore Live |
 United-kingdom | BT Sport |
 World | Setanta Sports Eurasia |
Chances of winning
Lecce
51.5% | Draw
28.7% | Sampdoria
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Lecce - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.99) |
3.32 ↑
(3.22) |
4.78 ↑
(4.16) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lecce - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 21 - 70%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lecce: 53.6% – 86.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Lecce has the most likely position - 15 (31.83%), project points - 38, currently - 27, a small chance of relegated (9%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (77.03%), project points - 23, currently - 15, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 52, small importance 19, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Lecce has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Sampdoria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Lecce is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Sampdoria?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Lecce?
Sampdoria has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Sampdoria were as follows:
12.11.2022
Sampdoria
-
Lecce
0:2
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82:31 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 70 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48:29 | 19 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58:30 | 28 | 65 |
| 5 | AS Roma | 35 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 52:29 | 23 | 64 |
| 6 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 62 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 55 |
| 8 | Lazio | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Bologna | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 49 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 49 |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 47 |
| 12 | Parma | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 39:58 | -19 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 37 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24:47 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 27:53 | -26 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24:57 | -33 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa ✔ | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B
