Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 26
- Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (258/361) | 69% (263/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (258/361) | 69% (263/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (25/68) | 36% (30/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (72/122) | 52% (54/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Begic T. ⚽, Brunori M. (A),
- 45+2', Di Pardo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Paoletti F. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 46', Ligue J. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
- 50', Kouda R. 🟨,
- 51', Cherubini L. ↓, Depaoli F. ↑,
- 58', Hadzikadunic D. 🟨,
- 60', Marras T. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Bragantini D. ⚽, Radaelli N. (A),
- 66', Begic T. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
- 66', Brunori M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 66', Hadzikadunic D. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Bragantini D. ⚽, Buso N. (A),
- 80', Di Pardo A. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
- 87', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 88', Goncalves T. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 89', Buso N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova
32% | Draw
32.8% | Sampdoria
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Mantova - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.02) |
2.87 ↑
(2.79) |
2.64 ↑
(2.62) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 12).
- Mantova has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sampdoria is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Falletti C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Depaoli F.
(Inactive)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Ferri J.
(Inactive)
Palma M.
(Inactive)
Venuti L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sampdoria: Pierini N.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Sampdoria?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Mantova?
Sampdoria has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Sampdoria were as follows:
02.11.2025
Sampdoria
-
Mantova
0:1
25.01.2025
Mantova
-
Sampdoria
2:2
27.10.2024
Sampdoria
-
Mantova
1:0
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
