Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (350/438) | 80% (302/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (350/438) | 80% (302/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 45% (30/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (102/161) | 73% (64/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.01 | 1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, Brunori M. ⚽, Viti M. (A),
- 58', Zampano F. 🟨,
- 59', Cherubini L. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
- 59', Brunori M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 63', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 63', Mendes P. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
- 63', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 64', Conti F. 🟨,
- 67', Conti F. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
- 70', Martinelli T. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. ⚽, Nieling B. (A),
- 79', Massolin Y. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 79', Santoro S. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 80', Pierini N. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
- 80', Viti M. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
- 86', Riccio A. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 2, Begic T. ⚽, Ricci M. (A),
- 90+1', Begic T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Soleri E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena
54% | Draw
29.3% | Sampdoria
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Modena - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.91) |
3.22 ↑
(2.91) |
5.53 ↑
(4.89) |
6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 26.9% – 73.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Modena is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Modena: Nador S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Barak A.
(Inactive)
Depaoli F.
(Inactive)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Ferri J.
(Inactive)
Henderson L.
(Yellow Cards)
Palma M.
(Red Card)
Venuti L.
(Injury)
Viti M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Modena: Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Sampdoria?
Modena has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Modena?
Sampdoria has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Sampdoria were as follows:
25.08.2025
Sampdoria
-
Modena
0:2
08.02.2025
Sampdoria
-
Modena
1:0
29.09.2024
Modena
-
Sampdoria
1:3
03.02.2024
Sampdoria
-
Modena
2:2
11.11.2023
Modena
-
Sampdoria
0:2
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
