Result
1:1
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 18
- Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/415) | 81% (304/376) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/415) | 81% (304/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (35/71) | 60% (27/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (43/81) | 62% (56/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Marius ⚽, Kayan Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 1, Koita S. ⚽, Ulgun O. (A),
- 63', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
- 65', Bulbul T. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
- 65', Kayan Y. ↓, Ntcham O. ↑,
- 66', Ntcham O. 🟨,
- 73', Reis T. 🟨,
- 76', Gurpuz G. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
- 83', Koita S. ↓, Dursun A. ↑,
- 84', Ulgun O. ↓, Onur S. ↑,
- 84', Mendes J. ↓, Tomasson L. ↑,
- 90+3', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Uzum F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gençlerbirliği
40.9% | Draw
30.2% | Samsunspor
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gençlerbirliği's performance.Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gençlerbirliği that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gençlerbirliği - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.82) |
3.11 ↓
(3.17) |
3.24 ↑
(2.58) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gençlerbirliği - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gençlerbirliği: 46.1% – 91.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 0.
- Gençlerbirliği is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Samsunspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Samsunspor has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Akkan G.
(Injury)
Durmaz E.
(Suspended)
Etebo P.
(Muscle Injury)
Kyabou M.
(Knee Injury)
Sahindere A.
(Knee Injury)
Unal E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Egribayat I.
(Inactive)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
Ndiaye C.
(International duty)
Ntcham O.
(Injury)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Csoboth K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gençlerbirliği won against Samsunspor?
Gençlerbirliği has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Gençlerbirliği?
Samsunspor has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gençlerbirliği - Samsunspor were as follows:
09.08.2025
Samsunspor
-
Gençlerbirliği
2:1
18.03.2023
Gençlerbirliği
-
Samsunspor
0:1
08.10.2022
Samsunspor
-
Gençlerbirliği
2:0
Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 68 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 37:47 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19:41 | -22 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
