Result
0:2
29/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 29
- Referee: Kucuk Z. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (477/572) | 70% (186/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (477/572) | 70% (186/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (144/185) | 62% (40/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.76 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 5 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Da Costa N. 🟨,
- 28', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', Claudio Winck ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
- 59', Aydogdu S. ↓, Schindler K. ↑,
- 66', Dimata L. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 1, Fall M. ⚽,
- 75', Kilinc E. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
- 75', Gul G. ↓, Kara A. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Da Costa N. ⚽, Ben Ouanes M. (A),
- 83', Bola M. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
- 87', Da Costa N. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
- 87', Hajradinovic H. ↓, Cafu ↑,
- 87', Fall M. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
- 90', Rodrigues K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
47.4% | Draw
27.1% | Kasımpaşa
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.92) |
3.49 ↓
(3.66) |
3.73 ↓
(3.77) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 54.1% – 91.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- Recent matches Samsunspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kasımpaşa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Samsunspor will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Marius
(Red Card)
Yuksel C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Kara A.
(Knee Injury)
Yanar A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Satka L.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Samsunspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
26.10.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Samsunspor
1:4
27.04.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Samsunspor
1:0
09.12.2023
Samsunspor
-
Kasımpaşa
4:2
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goztepe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kayserispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Basaksehir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Gaziantep | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
