Result
0:1
19/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 9 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 2, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Claro Sports |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 13 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (209/296) | 80% (318/398) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (209/296) | 80% (318/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 56% (37/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (88/130) | 64% (56/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Yuksel C. 🟨,
- 32', Chavarria P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Marius 🟨,
- 64', Alemao ↓, Balliu I. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽, Marius (A),
- 79', de Frutos J. ↓, Camello S. ↑,
- 79', Palazon I. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
- 80', Lopez U. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
- 80', Mendes J. ↓, Kilinc E. ↑,
- 81', Cift Y. E. ↓, Coulibaly T. ↑,
- 85', Camello S. 🟨,
- 86', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
- 87', Holse C. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
- 90', Garcia A. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
- 90+2', Kilinc E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Yavru Z. 🟨,
- 90+4', Yavru Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rayo Vallecano
60.9% | Draw
24.6% | Samsunspor
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.67) |
3.86 ↑
(3.77) |
6.37 ↑
(5.33) |
5.8%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rayo Vallecano will win
(33 of 36 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.64% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 3-1. Second leg.
- Rayo Vallecano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samsunspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rayo Vallecano is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Martin C.
(Inactive)
Mendez D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Diabbate A. B.
(Inactive)
Jarju S.
(Inactive)
Kayan Y.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Tavsan E.
(Inactive)
Ustun E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Akhomach I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ntcham O.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rayo Vallecano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Samsunspor?
Rayo Vallecano has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Rayo Vallecano?
Samsunspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor were as follows:
12.03.2026
Samsunspor
-
Rayo Vallecano
1:3
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
Latest results of Samsunspor
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
