Result
2:3 penalties
26/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Cup
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (183/252) | 82% (406/498) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (183/252) | 82% (406/498) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/59) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (31/63) | 59% (72/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 33% (10/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Agudelo J. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
- 10', Seymore W. 🟨,
- 10', Haakenson L. 🟨,
- 20', Jabang O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Hernandez D. 🟨,
- 51', 2 - 0, Agudelo J. ⚽,
- 57', Zelalem G. ↓, Noel V. ↑,
- 57', Seymore W. ↓, Gloster C. ↑,
- 62', Haakenson L. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 63', Agudelo J. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
- 63', Amang T. ↓, Hurst G. ↑,
- 63', Luiz Fernando ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 64', Hernandez D. ↓, Souahy A. ↑,
- 72', Vargas M. ↓, Harris D. ↑,
- 73', Maples T. 🟨,
- 77', Paredes L. ↓, Walker L. ↑,
- 79', Soto A. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
- 82', Noel V. 🟨,
- 82', Pacheco D. 🟨,
- 85', Lindsey J. 🟨,
- 88', Taintor M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Noel V. ⚽,
- 90+4', Buckmaster R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gloster C. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Harris D. ⚽, Maples T. (A),
- Penalties (0 - 3)
- 1, Hurst G. (Pen),
- 1, Hernandez J. (Pen),
- 2, Akale M. (Pen),
- 2, Taintor M. (Pen),
- 3, Maples T. (Pen),
- 3, Neville H. (Pen),
Chances of winning
San Antonio
32.3% | Draw
30.7% | New Mexico United
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio's form might have worsened.New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Mexico United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Antonio - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.26) |
3.01 ↓
(3.42) |
2.5 ↓
(2.75) |
8.3%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 2.
- San Antonio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, New Mexico has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Antonio won against New Mexico United?
San Antonio has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against San Antonio?
New Mexico United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Antonio - New Mexico United were as follows:
21.06.2025
New Mexico United
-
San Antonio
4:2
29.06.2024
San Antonio
-
New Mexico United
2:3
25.05.2024
New Mexico United
-
San Antonio
2:1
12.08.2023
New Mexico United
-
San Antonio
0:3
27.05.2023
San Antonio
-
New Mexico United
2:1
Latest results of San Antonio
Latest results of New Mexico United
