San Diego Loyal vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship San Diego Loyal - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
1:0
23/04/2023 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)

Chances of winning


San Diego Loyal
46.1%
Draw
26.5%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 24.6% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 23.5% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego Loyal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego Loyal's form might have worsened.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Rowdies's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Diego Loyal - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.59)
    3.47
    (3.7)
    3.34
    (5.05)
    9.1%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 1 (16.39%), project points - 56, currently - 11, a good chance of playoffs (91%), a good chance of qtrs (52%), a chance of semis (27%), a small chance of final (14%), a small chance of win league (8%).
    • Tampa Bay has the most likely position - 5 (11.93%), project points - 47, currently - 5, a good chance of playoffs (80%), a chance of qtrs (43%), a chance of semis (22%), a small chance of final (11%), a very small chance of win league (5%).
    • This event has small quality 22, small importance 11, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Recently Tampa Bay have a series of home games.
    • In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches San Diego Loyal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    Latest results of San Diego Loyal
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )