FC Dallas vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.742.04
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
84
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
30
Passes
80% (309/387)88% (652/738)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.742.04
xG on target (xGOT)
3.422.77
Total shots
135
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
30
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
40
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
3015
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
64
Free kicks
1216
Passes
80% (309/387)88% (652/738)
Long passes
51% (29/57)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
62% (76/123)64% (65/102)
Crosses
33% (4/12)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.49
Throw ins
1624
Fouls
1612
Tackles
64% (9/14)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4148
Clearances
1612
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
2.773.42
Goals prevented
-0.230.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Valakari O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 23', Cappis C. 🟨,
  • 30', Johansson H. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Ingvartsen M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 40', Soma P. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Musa P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Pilcher I. , Verhoeven O. ,
  • 46', Soma P. , Tverskov J. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, Valakari O. , Mighten A. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 3, Musa P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', Vazquez D. , Dreyer A. ,
  • 58', Mighten A. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 67', Cappis C. , Farrington L. ,
  • 71', Soe O. , McVey C. ,
  • 77', Valiente J. , Deedson L. ,
  • 77', Ramiro , Delgado P. ,
  • 85', Ibeagha S. , Binyamin R. ,
  • 86', Bombino L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Musa P. , Kamungo B. (A),
  • 90+10', Farrington L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


FC Dallas
41.6%
Draw
25.6%
San Diego
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 26.6% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 26.2% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Dallas's performance.
  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Dallas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • FC Dallas - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (3.01)
    3.71
    (3.55)
    2.89
    (2.26)
    5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for FC Dallas - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - San Diego (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - San Diego (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dallas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Eisner W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Julio Santos A. A. (Leg Injury) Sirois J. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
    • Including home match between the teams, Dallas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Dallas - San Diego were as follows:
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    07.03.2026 Los Angeles - FC Dallas 1:0
    28.02.2026 FC Dallas - Nashville SC 0:0
    21.02.2026 FC Dallas - Toronto FC 3:2
    14.02.2026 Atlanta United - FC Dallas 0:0
    30.01.2026 Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas 0:2
    Latest results of San Diego
    11.03.2026 San Diego - Toluca 3:2
    01.03.2026 San Diego - St. Louis City 2:0
    21.02.2026 San Diego - CF Montréal 5:0
    10.02.2026 UNAM - San Diego 1:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

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