Result
3:3
14/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/387) | 88% (652/738) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 2.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/387) | 88% (652/738) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (76/123) | 64% (65/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.77 | 3.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Valakari O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 23', Cappis C. 🟨,
- 30', Johansson H. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 2, Ingvartsen M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Soma P. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Musa P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Pilcher I. ↓, Verhoeven O. ↑,
- 46', Soma P. ↓, Tverskov J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Valakari O. ⚽, Mighten A. (A),
- 54', 2 - 3, Musa P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Vazquez D. ↓, Dreyer A. ↑,
- 58', Mighten A. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
- 67', Cappis C. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
- 71', Soe O. ↓, McVey C. ↑,
- 77', Valiente J. ↓, Deedson L. ↑,
- 77', Ramiro ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
- 85', Ibeagha S. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
- 86', Bombino L. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Musa P. ⚽, Kamungo B. (A),
- 90+10', Farrington L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FC Dallas
41.6% | Draw
25.6% | San Diego
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Dallas's performance.San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Dallas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FC Dallas - San Diego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(3.01) |
3.71 ↑
(3.55) |
2.89 ↑
(2.26) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FC Dallas - San Diego?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - San Diego (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - San Diego (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Diego will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Dallas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Eisner W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Dallas: Julio Santos A. A.
(Leg Injury)
Sirois J.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
- Including home match between the teams, Dallas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against San Diego?
FC Dallas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against FC Dallas?
San Diego has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Dallas - San Diego were as follows:
03.05.2025
San Diego
-
FC Dallas
5:0
Latest results of FC Dallas
Latest results of San Diego
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:0 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 15 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | San Diego FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | DC United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 3 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:23 | -18 | 3 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
