Result
3:3
14/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/387) | 88% (652/738) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 2.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/387) | 88% (652/738) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (76/123) | 64% (65/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 0% (0/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.77 | 3.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Valakari O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 23', Cappis C. 🟨,
- 30', Johansson H. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 2, Ingvartsen M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Soma P. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Musa P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Pilcher I. ↓, Verhoeven O. ↑,
- 46', Soma P. ↓, Tverskov J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Valakari O. ⚽, Mighten A. (A),
- 54', 2 - 3, Musa P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Vazquez D. ↓, Dreyer A. ↑,
- 58', Mighten A. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
- 67', Cappis C. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
- 71', Soe O. ↓, McVey C. ↑,
- 77', Valiente J. ↓, Deedson L. ↑,
- 77', Ramiro ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
- 85', Ibeagha S. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
- 86', Bombino L. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 3, Musa P. ⚽, Kamungo B. (A),
- 90+10', Farrington L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FC Dallas 41.6% | Draw 25.6% | San Diego 32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Dallas's performance.San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Dallas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FC Dallas - San Diego Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.3 ↓ (3.01) |
3.71 ↑ (3.55) |
2.89 ↑ (2.26) |
5% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FC Dallas - San Diego?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - San Diego (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - San Diego (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Dallas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A.
(Knee Injury)
Eisner W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Dallas: Julio Santos A. A.
(Leg Injury)
Sirois J.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
- Including home match between the teams, Dallas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against San Diego?
FC Dallas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against FC Dallas?
San Diego has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Dallas - San Diego were as follows:
03.05.2025
San Diego
-
FC Dallas
5:0
Latest results of FC Dallas
Latest results of San Diego
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Louis City | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 5 | DC United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Cincinnati | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)