FC Dallas vs San Diego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV International

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.742.04
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
84
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
30
Passes
80% (309/387)88% (652/738)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.742.04
xG on target (xGOT)
3.422.77
Total shots
135
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
30
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
40
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
3015
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
64
Free kicks
1216
Passes
80% (309/387)88% (652/738)
Long passes
51% (29/57)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
62% (76/123)64% (65/102)
Crosses
33% (4/12)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.49
Throw ins
1624
Fouls
1612
Tackles
64% (9/14)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4148
Clearances
1612
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
2.773.42
Goals prevented
-0.230.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Valakari O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 23', Cappis C. 🟨,
  • 30', Johansson H. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Ingvartsen M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 40', Soma P. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Musa P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Pilcher I. , Verhoeven O. ,
  • 46', Soma P. , Tverskov J. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, Valakari O. , Mighten A. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 3, Musa P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', Vazquez D. , Dreyer A. ,
  • 58', Mighten A. , Pellegrino A. ,
  • 67', Cappis C. , Farrington L. ,
  • 71', Soe O. , McVey C. ,
  • 77', Valiente J. , Deedson L. ,
  • 77', Ramiro , Delgado P. ,
  • 85', Ibeagha S. , Binyamin R. ,
  • 86', Bombino L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 3 - 3, Musa P. , Kamungo B. (A),
  • 90+10', Farrington L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


FC Dallas
41.6%
Draw
25.6%
San Diego
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 26.6% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 26.2% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Dallas's performance.
  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Diego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Dallas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • FC Dallas - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (3.01)
    3.71
    (3.55)
    2.89
    (2.26)
    5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for FC Dallas - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 25%). San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - San Diego (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - San Diego (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Diego will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dallas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • San Diego is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Knee Injury) Eisner W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Julio Santos A. A. (Leg Injury) Sirois J. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 1:4).
    • Including home match between the teams, Dallas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Dallas - San Diego were as follows:
    03.05.2025 San Diego - FC Dallas 5:0
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    07.03.2026 Los Angeles - FC Dallas 1:0
    28.02.2026 FC Dallas - Nashville SC 0:0
    21.02.2026 FC Dallas - Toronto FC 3:2
    14.02.2026 Atlanta United - FC Dallas 0:0
    30.01.2026 Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas 0:2
    Latest results of San Diego
    11.03.2026 San Diego - Toluca 3:2
    01.03.2026 San Diego - St. Louis City 2:0
    21.02.2026 San Diego - CF Montréal 5:0
    10.02.2026 UNAM - San Diego 1:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1090125:61927
    2Vancouver Whitecaps980125:52024
    3Los Angeles FC1062217:61120
    4Seattle Sounders861112:4819
    5Minnesota United1052311:14-317
    6Real Salt Lake951317:14316
    7Colorado Rapids1041522:18413
    8FC Dallas1034318:15313
    9Houston Dynamo940512:18-612
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1033415:16-112
    11San Diego FC1032517:17011
    12Portland Timbers931513:19-610
    13Austin FC1024414:19-510
    14St. Louis City91359:16-76
    15Sporting Kansas City91177:25-184


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC971121:61522
    2Inter Miami1054119:15419
    3Chicago Fire952217:8917
    4New England Revolution951317:12516
    5Charlotte1042418:18014
    6Toronto FC1034317:19-213
    7New York City1033419:16312
    8Columbus Crew1033414:13112
    9FC Cincinnati1033419:23-412
    10DC United1033411:15-412
    11New York Red Bulls1033416:25-912
    12CF Montreal930613:20-79
    13Atlanta Utd102179:17-87
    14Orlando City1021712:29-177
    15Philadelphia Union101279:17-85

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