Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/09/2025 at  22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  NWSL Women
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | Stan Sport | 
|  Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports | 
|  United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 | 
|  United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 | 
|  Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.96 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (369/442) | 81% (357/442) | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.96 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.26 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 10 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 29 | 12 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (369/442) | 81% (357/442) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 37% (17/46) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 69% (85/123) | 68% (78/115) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 21% (4/19) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.44 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 16 | 19 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 75% (12/16) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 24 | 35 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 25 | 30 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 13 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.00 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.00 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Ovalle L. ⚽, Watt A. (A), 
- 10', 1 - 1, Dudinha ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Robbe M. ↓, Fusco J. ↑, 
- 46', Doyle J. ↓, Pickett C. ↑, 
- 54', 1 - 2, Pickett C. ⚽, 
- 73', Leon A. ↓, Carusa K. ↑, 
- 73', Lemos A. ↓, Yates S. ↑, 
- 73', Watt A. ↓, Charley S. ↑, 
- 82', Angelina ↓, Villacorta V. ↑, 
- 83', Hernandez O. ↓, Dyke C. ↑, 
- 85', Ascanio K. ↓, Morroni P. ↑, 
- 90', Wesley K. ↓, Arias D. ↑, 
- 90+1', Dudinha ↓, McMahon Q. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | San Diego Wave 39.4%
 | Draw 27%
 | Orlando Pride 33.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.33 ↑ (2.09)
 | 3.39 ↑ (3.34)
 | 2.73 ↓ (3.24)
 | 9.3% (8.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, Orlando Pride has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Orlando Pride?
                    
                    
                        
                            San Diego Wave has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pride won against San Diego Wave?
                    
                    
                        
                             Orlando Pride has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.03.2025 
                                Orlando Pride 
                                - 
                                San Diego Wave 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.06.2024 
                                San Diego Wave 
                                - 
                                Orlando Pride 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.04.2024 
                                Orlando Pride 
                                - 
                                San Diego Wave 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.08.2023 
                                Orlando Pride 
                                - 
                                San Diego Wave 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.09.2022 
                                Orlando Pride 
                                - 
                                San Diego Wave 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of San Diego Wave                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Orlando Pride                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
NWSL Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 47:12 | 35 | 62 | 
| 2 | Washington Spirit W ✔ | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:32 | 10 | 44 | 
| 3 | Orlando Pride W ✔ | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 39 | 
| 4 | Seattle Reign W ✔ | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 | 
| 5 | San Diego Wave W ✔ | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 37 | 
| 6 | Portland Thorns W ✔ | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 | 
| 7 | Gotham W ✔ | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 36 | 
| 8 | Racing Louisville W | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 | 
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 32 | 
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 30 | 
| 11 | Angel City W | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 | 
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 22 | 
| 13 | Bay FC W | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26:40 | -14 | 20 | 
| 14 | Chicago W | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 30:53 | -23 | 17 | 
      Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Washington Spirit W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Orlando Pride W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Seattle Reign W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
San Diego Wave W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Portland Thorns W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Gotham W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)