San Diego Wave vs Orlando Pride – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football NWSL San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride
Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.96
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
83% (369/442)81% (357/442)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.970.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.26
Total shots
159
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
711
Passes
83% (369/442)81% (357/442)
Long passes
48% (13/27)37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
69% (85/123)68% (78/115)
Crosses
15% (3/20)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.44
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
117
Tackles
56% (5/9)75% (12/16)
Duels won
2435
Clearances
2530
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.261.00
Goals prevented
-0.740.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Ovalle L. , Watt A. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Dudinha ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Robbe M. , Fusco J. ,
  • 46', Doyle J. , Pickett C. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Pickett C. ,
  • 73', Leon A. , Carusa K. ,
  • 73', Lemos A. , Yates S. ,
  • 73', Watt A. , Charley S. ,
  • 82', Angelina , Villacorta V. ,
  • 83', Hernandez O. , Dyke C. ,
  • 85', Ascanio K. , Morroni P. ,
  • 90', Wesley K. , Arias D. ,
  • 90+1', Dudinha , McMahon Q. ,

Chances of winning


San Diego Wave
39.4%
Draw
27%
Orlando Pride
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 27.5% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 27% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Orlando Pride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Pride's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Wave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando Pride, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.09)
    3.39
    (3.34)
    2.73
    (3.24)
    9.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, Orlando Pride has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Orlando Pride - San Diego Wave 2:1
    07.06.2024 San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride 1:1
    19.04.2024 Orlando Pride - San Diego Wave 1:0
    25.08.2023 Orlando Pride - San Diego Wave 1:2
    25.09.2022 Orlando Pride - San Diego Wave 2:2
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    Latest results of Orlando Pride
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W ✔ 23192245:113459
    2Washington Spirit W23127439:281143
    3Gotham W2398631:181335
    4Portland Thorns W2397732:28434
    5Seattle Reign W2397728:26234
    6Orlando Pride W2396828:24433
    7Racing Louisville W2496932:36-433
    8San Diego Wave W2387831:29231
    9North Carolina Courage W2377929:35-628
    10Houston Dash W23761026:35-927
    11Angel City W23661128:37-924
    12Utah Royals W23571124:37-1322
    13Bay FC W23471224:35-1119
    14Chicago W242111129:47-1817

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)