Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 0.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
83% (369/442) | 81% (357/442) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.97 | 0.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.00 | 1.26 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
83% (369/442) | 81% (357/442) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (13/27) | 37% (17/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (85/123) | 68% (78/115) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (3/20) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.67 | 0.44 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (5/9) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
24 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.26 | 1.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.74 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Ovalle L. ⚽, Watt A. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Dudinha ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Robbe M. ↓, Fusco J. ↑,
- 46', Doyle J. ↓, Pickett C. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Pickett C. ⚽,
- 73', Leon A. ↓, Carusa K. ↑,
- 73', Lemos A. ↓, Yates S. ↑,
- 73', Watt A. ↓, Charley S. ↑,
- 82', Angelina ↓, Villacorta V. ↑,
- 83', Hernandez O. ↓, Dyke C. ↑,
- 85', Ascanio K. ↓, Morroni P. ↑,
- 90', Wesley K. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
- 90+1', Dudinha ↓, McMahon Q. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Diego Wave 39.4% | Draw 27% | Orlando Pride 33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Orlando Pride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Pride's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Wave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando Pride, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↑ (2.09) |
3.39 ↑ (3.34) |
2.73 ↓ (3.24) |
9.3% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, Orlando Pride has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Orlando Pride?
San Diego Wave has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pride won against San Diego Wave?
Orlando Pride has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride were as follows:
29.03.2025
Orlando Pride
-
San Diego Wave
2:1
07.06.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Orlando Pride
1:1
19.04.2024
Orlando Pride
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
25.08.2023
Orlando Pride
-
San Diego Wave
1:2
25.09.2022
Orlando Pride
-
San Diego Wave
2:2
Latest results of San Diego Wave
Latest results of Orlando Pride
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Washington Spirit W | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Gotham W | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 35 |
4 | Portland Thorns W | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
5 | Seattle Reign W | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 34 |
6 | Orlando Pride W | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 28:24 | 4 | 33 |
7 | Racing Louisville W | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 33 |
8 | San Diego Wave W | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
9 | North Carolina Courage W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
10 | Houston Dash W | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 27 |
11 | Angel City W | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
12 | Utah Royals W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 22 |
13 | Bay FC W | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Chicago W | 24 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 17 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)