Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (369/442) | 81% (357/442) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (369/442) | 81% (357/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/123) | 68% (78/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Ovalle L. ⚽, Watt A. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Dudinha ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Robbe M. ↓, Fusco J. ↑,
- 46', Doyle J. ↓, Pickett C. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Pickett C. ⚽,
- 73', Leon A. ↓, Carusa K. ↑,
- 73', Lemos A. ↓, Yates S. ↑,
- 73', Watt A. ↓, Charley S. ↑,
- 82', Angelina ↓, Villacorta V. ↑,
- 83', Hernandez O. ↓, Dyke C. ↑,
- 85', Ascanio K. ↓, Morroni P. ↑,
- 90', Wesley K. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
- 90+1', Dudinha ↓, McMahon Q. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Diego Wave
39.4% | Draw
27% | Orlando Pride
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Orlando Pride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando Pride's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego Wave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando Pride, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.09) |
3.39 ↑
(3.34) |
2.73 ↓
(3.24) |
9.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, Orlando Pride has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Orlando Pride?
San Diego Wave has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pride won against San Diego Wave?
Orlando Pride has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride were as follows:
29.03.2025
Orlando Pride
-
San Diego Wave
2:1
07.06.2024
San Diego Wave
-
Orlando Pride
1:1
19.04.2024
Orlando Pride
-
San Diego Wave
1:0
25.08.2023
Orlando Pride
-
San Diego Wave
1:2
25.09.2022
Orlando Pride
-
San Diego Wave
2:2
Latest results of San Diego Wave
Latest results of Orlando Pride
NWSL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portland Thorns W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Gotham W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Houston Dash W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Utah Royals W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Orlando Pride W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Bay FC W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Kansas City Current W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Boston Legacy W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
