Result
3:3
14/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 18
Chances of winning
Trestina 36% | Draw 31% | San Donato Tavarnelle 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)San Donato Tavarnelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Donato Tavarnelle than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Trestina - San Donato Tavarnelle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.42) |
2.95 ↓ (3.38) |
2.77 ↑ (2.54) |
9.5% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Trestina - San Donato Tavarnelle?
Users Predictions:
Trestina will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Trestina will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 2.
- Recent performances by Trestina have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Donato's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Trestina won against San Donato Tavarnelle?
Trestina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Donato Tavarnelle won against Trestina?
San Donato Tavarnelle has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trestina - San Donato Tavarnelle were as follows:
07.09.2025
San Donato Tavarnelle
-
Trestina
2:1
23.03.2025
Trestina
-
San Donato Tavarnelle
1:0
04.02.2024
Trestina
-
San Donato Tavarnelle
2:0
Latest results of Trestina
Latest results of San Donato Tavarnelle
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Tau | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 38:22 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Siena | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Prato | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Foligno | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 42:34 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 40 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Trestina | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Ghiviborgo | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
| 12 | Camaiore | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36:44 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | San Donato | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Orvietana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:34 | -5 | 29 |
| 15 | Follonica Gavorrano | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:43 | -14 | 29 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 | Vivi Altotevere | 27 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | Cannara | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19:54 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation