Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Barron J. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 71', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Ignacio 36.9% | Draw 29.9% | Derio 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
San Ignacio - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↓ (2.52) |
3.03 ↑ (2.98) |
2.72 ↑ (2.68) |
10.4% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
- San Ignacio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Derio is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Derio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Ignacio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has San Ignacio won against Derio?
San Ignacio has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against San Ignacio?
Derio has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Ignacio - Derio were as follows:
07.09.2025
Derio
-
San Ignacio
1:0
05.04.2025
San Ignacio
-
Derio
3:3
23.11.2024
Derio
-
San Ignacio
1:0
10.03.2024
San Ignacio
-
Derio
1:1
Latest results of San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 42:14 | 28 | 44 |
| 2 | Lagun Onak | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 32:16 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 | Leioa | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:16 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:19 | 6 | 28 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Derio | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | Durango | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 25 |
| 11 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 11:21 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | Zarautz KE | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | SD Deusto | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Eibar C | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Anorga | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12:32 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation