Result
1:2
18/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Barron J. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 71', 1 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Ignacio
36.9% | Draw
29.9% | Derio
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Ignacio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
San Ignacio - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.52) |
3.03 ↑
(2.98) |
2.72 ↑
(2.68) |
10.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Ignacio - Derio?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
- San Ignacio is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Derio is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Derio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Ignacio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Ignacio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has San Ignacio won against Derio?
San Ignacio has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against San Ignacio?
Derio has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Ignacio - Derio were as follows:
07.09.2025
Derio
-
San Ignacio
1:0
05.04.2025
San Ignacio
-
Derio
3:3
23.11.2024
Derio
-
San Ignacio
1:0
10.03.2024
San Ignacio
-
Derio
1:1
Latest results of San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 60 |
| 2 | Leioa | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 | Lagun Onak | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Touring KE | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
| 5 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24:18 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Derio | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37:29 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38:27 | 11 | 36 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 35 |
| 10 | Durango | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Anorga | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:43 | -23 | 21 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 17:30 | -13 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
