Result
0:0
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Leioa
45.3% | Draw
28.4% | Derio
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leioa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Leioa - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.92) |
3.2 ↓
(3.4) |
3.46 ↓
(3.64) |
9.9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- In recent matches, Leioa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Derio is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Leioa is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leioa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Derio?
Leioa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Leioa?
Derio has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Derio were as follows:
07.12.2025
Derio
-
Leioa
1:0
22.03.2025
Leioa
-
Derio
2:1
09.11.2024
Derio
-
Leioa
0:1
16.12.2023
Leioa
-
Derio
1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
