San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy
28/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.91
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
83% (335/404)79% (333/421)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.30
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
169
Passes
83% (335/404)79% (333/421)
Long passes
44% (17/39)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
68% (69/102)76% (110/145)
Crosses
14% (2/14)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.81
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
916
Tackles
60% (9/15)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.301.30
Goals prevented
0.300.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Zanka 🟨,
  • 11', Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Leroux B. , Kaye M. (A),
  • 42', Aude J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 46', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 50', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 62', Kaye M. , Harkes I. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Reus M. ,
  • 70', Matheus Nascimento , Sanabria L. ,
  • 71', Judd P. , Martinez J. ,
  • 71', Jones D. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 73', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 73', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 84', Fagundez D. , Yoshida M. ,
  • 90', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
52.3%
Draw
23.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.5% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 28.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.51)
    4.11
    (3.32)
    3.89
    (2.81)
    4.2%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: San Jose Earthquakes will win (71 of 78 users predict this - 91.03%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.69%97.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • LA Galaxy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:37. (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1
    31.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:2
    29.06.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 0:3
    21.04.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 4:3
    02.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)