Result
28/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
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Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.14 | 1.91 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Total shots |
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14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 7 |
Passes |
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83% (335/404) | 79% (333/421) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.14 | 1.91 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.30 | 1.30 |
Total shots |
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14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 9 |
Passes |
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83% (335/404) | 79% (333/421) |
Long passes |
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44% (17/39) | 32% (17/53) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (69/102) | 76% (110/145) |
Crosses |
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14% (2/14) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.53 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 19 |
Fouls |
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9 | 16 |
Tackles |
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60% (9/15) | 59% (13/22) |
Duels won |
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49 | 47 |
Clearances |
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25 | 12 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.30 | 1.30 |
Goals prevented |
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0.30 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Zanka 🟨,
- 11', Rodrigues 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Leroux B. ⚽, Kaye M. (A),
- 42', Aude J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodrigues ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
- 46', Floriani M. 🟨,
- 50', Garces C. 🟨,
- 62', Kaye M. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Reus M. ⚽,
- 70', Matheus Nascimento ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 71', Judd P. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 71', Jones D. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
- 73', Yamane M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
- 73', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
- 84', Fagundez D. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
- 90', Vitor Costa ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
Chances of winning
San Jose Earthquakes 52.3% | Draw 23.4% | Los Angeles Galaxy 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-14.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↓ (2.51) |
4.11 ↑ (3.32) |
3.89 ↑ (2.81) |
4.2% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy?
Users Predictions:
San Jose Earthquakes will win
(71 of 78 users predict this - 91.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.69% – 97.37%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
- In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- LA Galaxy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
- San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:37. (average 1.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Los Angeles Galaxy?
San Jose Earthquakes has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against San Jose Earthquakes?
Los Angeles Galaxy has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
28.05.2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
-
San Jose Earthquakes
0:1
31.07.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
1:2
29.06.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
0:3
21.04.2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
-
San Jose Earthquakes
4:3
02.03.2024
San Jose Earthquakes
-
Los Angeles Galaxy
1:3
Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes
Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 47:32 | 15 | 43 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
5 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Nashville SC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
6 | Orlando City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:32 | 11 | 38 |
7 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
8 | New York City | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 35 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
11 | New England Revolution | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20:45 | -25 | 15 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)