San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	1.91
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	7
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
83% (335/404)	79% (333/421)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	1.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.30	1.30
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
8	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	7
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
19	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
16	9
Passes
83% (335/404)	79% (333/421)
Long passes
44% (17/39)	32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
68% (69/102)	76% (110/145)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	0.81
Throw-ins
18	19
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
60% (9/15)	59% (13/22)
Duels won
49	47
Clearances
25	12
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.30	1.30
Goals prevented
0.30	0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Zanka 🟨,
11', Rodrigues 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Leroux B. ⚽, Kaye M. (A),
42', Aude J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodrigues ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
46', Floriani M. 🟨,
50', Garces C. 🟨,
62', Kaye M. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Reus M. ⚽,
70', Matheus Nascimento ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
71', Judd P. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
71', Jones D. ↓, Kikanovic B. ↑,
73', Yamane M. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
73', Aude J. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
84', Fagundez D. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
90', Vitor Costa ↓, Bouda O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

San Jose Earthquakes
52.3%

Draw
23.4%

Los Angeles Galaxy
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.5%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.

Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.51)	4.11 ↑ (3.32)	3.89 ↑ (2.81)	4.2% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy?

Users Predictions: San Jose Earthquakes will win (71 of 78 users predict this - 91.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.69% – 97.37%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
LA Galaxy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:37. (average 1.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.5:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has San Jose Earthquakes won against Los Angeles Galaxy?

San Jose Earthquakes has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against San Jose Earthquakes?

Los Angeles Galaxy has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:

28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1

31.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:2

29.06.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 0:3

21.04.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 4:3

02.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3

Latest results of San Jose Earthquakes

25.06.2025 FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes 2:4 ✺

13.06.2025 Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes 2:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy

25.06.2025 Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:0 ✺

14.06.2025 St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Real Salt Lake 2:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 San Diego - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	24	13	4	7	47:32	15	43
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	12	6	5	39:26	13	42
3	Minnesota United	24	11	8	5	40:27	13	41
4	Seattle Sounders	23	10	7	6	37:33	4	37
5	Los Angeles FC	21	10	6	5	39:27	12	36
6	Portland Timbers	23	9	7	7	32:32	0	34
7	Colorado Rapids	24	8	6	10	30:36	-6	30
8	Austin FC	22	8	6	8	17:24	-7	30
9	San Jose Earthquakes	24	7	8	9	46:42	4	29
10	Real Salt Lake	23	8	4	11	24:29	-5	28
11	Houston Dynamo	24	7	6	11	30:39	-9	27
12	FC Dallas	23	6	7	10	32:41	-9	25
13	Sporting Kansas City	23	6	6	11	36:42	-6	24
14	St. Louis City	23	4	6	13	23:38	-15	18
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	24	3	7	14	28:48	-20	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Cincinnati	24	15	3	6	39:31	8	48
2	Nashville SC	24	14	5	5	42:25	17	47
3	Philadelphia Union	24	14	5	5	40:23	17	47
4	Columbus Crew	24	12	8	4	40:33	7	44
5	Inter Miami	21	12	5	4	49:34	15	41
6	Orlando City	24	10	8	6	43:32	11	38
7	Charlotte	24	11	2	11	41:39	2	35
8	New York City	23	10	5	8	30:26	4	35
9	New York Red Bulls	24	9	6	9	39:35	4	33
10	Chicago Fire	23	9	5	9	44:40	4	32
11	New England Revolution	23	6	7	10	30:32	-2	25
12	Toronto FC	23	5	6	12	25:30	-5	21
13	Atlanta Utd	23	4	8	11	27:43	-16	20
14	DC United	24	4	7	13	20:45	-25	19
15	CF Montreal	24	3	6	15	20:45	-25	15

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)