San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy
28/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.91
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
83% (335/404)79% (333/421)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.30
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
169
Passes
83% (335/404)79% (333/421)
Long passes
44% (17/39)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
68% (69/102)76% (110/145)
Crosses
14% (2/14)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.81
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
916
Tackles
60% (9/15)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.301.30
Goals prevented
0.300.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Zanka 🟨,
  • 11', Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Leroux B. , Kaye M. (A),
  • 42', Aude J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 46', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 50', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 62', Kaye M. , Harkes I. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Reus M. ,
  • 70', Matheus Nascimento , Sanabria L. ,
  • 71', Judd P. , Martinez J. ,
  • 71', Jones D. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 73', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 73', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 84', Fagundez D. , Yoshida M. ,
  • 90', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
52.3%
Draw
23.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.5% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 28.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.51)
    4.11
    (3.32)
    3.89
    (2.81)
    4.2%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: San Jose Earthquakes will win (71 of 78 users predict this - 91.03%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.69%97.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • LA Galaxy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:37. (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1
    31.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:2
    29.06.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 0:3
    21.04.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 4:3
    02.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)