San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.91
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
83% (335/404)79% (333/421)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.30
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
169
Passes
83% (335/404)79% (333/421)
Long passes
44% (17/39)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
68% (69/102)76% (110/145)
Crosses
14% (2/14)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.81
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
916
Tackles
60% (9/15)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.301.30
Goals prevented
0.300.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Zanka 🟨,
  • 11', Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Leroux B. , Kaye M. (A),
  • 42', Aude J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 46', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 50', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 62', Kaye M. , Harkes I. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Reus M. ,
  • 70', Matheus Nascimento , Sanabria L. ,
  • 71', Judd P. , Martinez J. ,
  • 71', Jones D. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 73', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 73', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 84', Fagundez D. , Yoshida M. ,
  • 90', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
52.3%
Draw
23.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.5% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 28.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.51)
    4.11
    (3.32)
    3.89
    (2.81)
    4.2%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - San Jose (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: San Jose Earthquakes will win (71 of 78 users predict this - 91.03%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.69%97.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (38 of 38 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 40 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • LA Galaxy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:37. (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1
    31.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:2
    29.06.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 0:3
    21.04.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 4:3
    02.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)