San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.91
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
83% (335/404)79% (333/421)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.301.30
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
169
Passes
83% (335/404)79% (333/421)
Long passes
44% (17/39)32% (17/53)
Passes in final third
68% (69/102)76% (110/145)
Crosses
14% (2/14)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.81
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
916
Tackles
60% (9/15)59% (13/22)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.301.30
Goals prevented
0.300.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Zanka 🟨,
  • 11', Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Leroux B. , Kaye M. (A),
  • 42', Aude J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rodrigues , Floriani M. ,
  • 46', Floriani M. 🟨,
  • 50', Garces C. 🟨,
  • 62', Kaye M. , Harkes I. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Reus M. ,
  • 70', Matheus Nascimento , Sanabria L. ,
  • 71', Judd P. , Martinez J. ,
  • 71', Jones D. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 73', Yamane M. , Cuevas M. ,
  • 73', Aude J. , Nelson J. ,
  • 84', Fagundez D. , Yoshida M. ,
  • 90', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
52.3%
Draw
23.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 28.5% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 28.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.51)
    4.11
    (3.32)
    3.89
    (2.81)
    4.2%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - San Jose (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: San Jose Earthquakes will win (71 of 78 users predict this - 91.03%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.69%97.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Jose Earthquakes will win (38 of 38 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 40 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.
    • In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • LA Galaxy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:37. (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 0:1
    31.07.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:2
    29.06.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 0:3
    21.04.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes 4:3
    02.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:3
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)