Result
77:83
04/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo de Almagro
34.3% | Boca Juniors
65.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo de Almagro's form might have worsened.Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo de Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.26) |
|
1.41 ↓
(1.5) |
7.3%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 159.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 78:82.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 3.
- San Lorenzo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Boca Juniors is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1363:1517. (average 68.2:75.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 716:780. (average 71.6:78).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo de Almagro won against Boca Juniors?
San Lorenzo de Almagro has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against San Lorenzo de Almagro?
Boca Juniors has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors were as follows:
15.11.2025
Boca Juniors
-
San Lorenzo de Almagro
78:74
14.02.2025
Boca Juniors
-
San Lorenzo de Almagro
75:76
17.11.2024
San Lorenzo de Almagro
-
Boca Juniors
83:78
15.06.2024
San Lorenzo de Almagro
-
Boca Juniors
68:77
13.06.2024
San Lorenzo de Almagro
-
Boca Juniors
77:67
Latest results of San Lorenzo de Almagro
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian LNB Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Gimnasia | 33 | 22 | 11 | 2687:2516 | 0.667 |
| 2 | Obera TC | 31 | 20 | 11 | 2523:2374 | 0.645 |
| 3 | Quimsa | 33 | 21 | 12 | 2719:2499 | 0.636 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 33 | 20 | 13 | 2672:2548 | 0.606 |
| 5 | Obras Sanitarias | 32 | 19 | 13 | 2611:2532 | 0.594 |
| 6 | Regatas | 32 | 19 | 13 | 2487:2436 | 0.594 |
| 7 | Ferro | 32 | 19 | 13 | 2687:2632 | 0.594 |
| 8 | Instituto de Cordoba | 33 | 19 | 14 | 2546:2481 | 0.576 |
| 9 | Independiente de Oliva | 32 | 18 | 14 | 2781:2670 | 0.563 |
| 10 | La Union | 34 | 19 | 15 | 2752:2720 | 0.559 |
| 11 | Penarol | 33 | 18 | 15 | 2679:2675 | 0.545 |
| 12 | San Martin | 33 | 15 | 18 | 2485:2519 | 0.455 |
| 13 | Olimpico | 34 | 15 | 19 | 2708:2704 | 0.441 |
| 14 | San Lorenzo | 33 | 13 | 20 | 2626:2728 | 0.394 |
| 15 | Platense | 34 | 13 | 21 | 2798:2893 | 0.382 |
| 16 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 33 | 12 | 21 | 2611:2703 | 0.364 |
| 17 | Union De Santa Fe | 33 | 12 | 21 | 2689:2778 | 0.364 |
| 18 | Atenas | 32 | 11 | 21 | 2427:2575 | 0.344 |
| 19 | Argentino | 32 | 6 | 26 | 2367:2872 | 0.188 |
Promotion ~ Liga A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga A (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liga A (Play Out: )
