Result
0:1
10/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (225/326) | 55% (113/206) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (225/326) | 55% (113/206) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 18% (8/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (69/116) | 41% (28/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (21/26) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 77 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Diarte L. 🟨,
- 45', Lecanda T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Fernandez T. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
- 61', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
- 64', Reali M. ↓, Ladstatter A. ↑,
- 72', Diarte L. ↓, Orihuela M. ↑,
- 72', Maestro I. ↓, Barrera S. ↑,
- 73', Cerutti E. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
- 73', Lopez F. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Jaurena S. (A),
- 84', Tripichio N. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
- 86', Borgogno M. 🟨,
- 88', Gonzalez D. ↓, Caseres R. ↑,
- 90', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
57% | Draw
27.6% | San Martín de San Juan
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.5) |
3.51 ↓
(4.16) |
6.24 ↓
(6.36) |
5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). San Martín will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - San Lorenzo (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - San Lorenzo (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 4.
- Recent performances by San Lorenzo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Martín is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, San Lorenzo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Knee Injury)
Cordoba A.
(Inactive)
Insaurralde M.
(Elbow Injury)
Rodriguez Pagano T.
(International duty)
- There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N.
(Injury)
Toloza F.
(Inactive)
Watson N.
(Red Card)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against San Martín de San Juan?
San Lorenzo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de San Juan won against San Lorenzo?
San Martín de San Juan has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - San Martín de San Juan were as follows:
04.04.2025
San Martín de San Juan
-
San Lorenzo
0:1
10.10.2023
San Lorenzo
-
San Martín de San Juan
1:0
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Latest results of San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Independiente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | River Plate | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
