San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceAction 24
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.24
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
70% (211/303)76% (332/435)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.00
Total shots
226
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
188
Passes
70% (211/303)76% (332/435)
Long passes
52% (30/58)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
58% (71/123)70% (85/122)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.43
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
818
Tackles
75% (18/24)67% (16/24)
Duels won
7655
Clearances
4928
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.001.11
Goals prevented
0.000.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Baez E. 🟨,
  • 4', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 21', Reali M. 🟨,
  • 22', Machuca I. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Cuello A. , Cerutti E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Insaurralde M. , Rattalino J. ,
  • 46', Herrera E. , Lopez F. ,
  • 54', Baeza C. , Godoy D. ,
  • 56', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 59', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
  • 60', Cerutti E. , Ladstatter A. ,
  • 78', Reali M. , Salinardi Branco ,
  • 80', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 83', Carrizo M. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 83', Machuca I. , Veron A. ,
  • 90', Tripichio N. , Perruzzi F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
37.4%
Draw
35.2%
Vélez Sársfield
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 31.6% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.43)
    2.7
    (3.02)
    3.46
    (3.27)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 8 - 16.7%). Vélez will win (votes: 28 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 44.4%72.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Vélez (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Vélez (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Vélez (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.
    • Recent performances by San Lorenzo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vélez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • San Lorenzo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Santos M. (Muscle Injury) Valdes D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Dominguez N. (Ankle Injury) Lopez F. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Andrada I. (Injury) Bouzat A. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo 0:0
    14.09.2024 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 0:1
    06.08.2024 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:3
    08.10.2022 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:0
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano843110:7315
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5Huracan83328:7112
    6Racing Club832311:9211
    7River Plate83238:8011
    8Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    9Banfield83149:9010
    10Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    11Barracas Central82336:7-19
    12Sarmiento Junin83056:9-39
    13Atl. Tucuman81259:13-45
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto81163:12-94
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)