San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceAction 24
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.24
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
70% (211/303)76% (332/435)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.00
Total shots
226
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
188
Passes
70% (211/303)76% (332/435)
Long passes
52% (30/58)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
58% (71/123)70% (85/122)
Crosses
26% (5/19)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.43
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
818
Tackles
75% (18/24)67% (16/24)
Duels won
7655
Clearances
4928
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.001.11
Goals prevented
0.000.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Baez E. 🟨,
  • 4', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 21', Reali M. 🟨,
  • 22', Machuca I. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Cuello A. , Cerutti E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Insaurralde M. , Rattalino J. ,
  • 46', Herrera E. , Lopez F. ,
  • 54', Baeza C. , Godoy D. ,
  • 56', Gomez E. 🟨,
  • 59', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
  • 60', Cerutti E. , Ladstatter A. ,
  • 78', Reali M. , Salinardi Branco ,
  • 80', Braian Romero 🟨,
  • 83', Carrizo M. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 83', Machuca I. , Veron A. ,
  • 90', Tripichio N. , Perruzzi F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
37.4%
Draw
35.2%
Vélez Sársfield
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 31.6% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.43)
    2.7
    (3.02)
    3.46
    (3.27)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 8 - 16.7%). Vélez will win (votes: 28 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 44.4%72.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Vélez (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Vélez (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Vélez (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.
    • Recent performances by San Lorenzo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vélez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • San Lorenzo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Santos M. (Muscle Injury) Valdes D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Lorenzo: Dominguez N. (Ankle Injury) Lopez F. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Vélez: Andrada I. (Injury) Bouzat A. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Vélez Sársfield - San Lorenzo 0:0
    14.09.2024 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 0:1
    06.08.2024 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:3
    08.10.2022 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:0
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1144310:9116
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)