Result
0:1
02/03/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/411) | 77% (245/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/411) | 77% (245/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (44/68) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (89/121) | 66% (70/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Robertone L. 🟨,
- 20', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 38', Meza E. 🟨,
- 40', Monzon F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Monzon F. ⚽, Magallan L. (A),
- 61', Perez Fabricio ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
- 66', Robertone L. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 66', Machuca I. ↓, Arias M. ↑,
- 70', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
- 70', Meza E. ↓, Mancuso E. ↑,
- 70', Arias M. 🟨,
- 81', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
- 87', Benedetti G. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
- 87', Cetre E. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
- 88', Lanzini M. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 90', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Monzon F. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes La Plata
41.2% | Draw
34.3% | Vélez Sársfield
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.16) |
2.76 ↓
(2.86) |
3.84 ↓
(3.91) |
5.9%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Estudiantes (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Estudiantes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 6 - 75%). Vélez (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Estudiantes could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S.
(Knee Injury)
Carrillo G.
(Inactive)
Castro A.
(Inactive)
Gabriel Neves
(Injury)
Sosa J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Pellegrini M.
(Inactive)
Valdes D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes La Plata won against Vélez Sársfield?
Estudiantes La Plata has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Estudiantes La Plata?
Vélez Sársfield has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
08.07.2025
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:2
21.12.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Estudiantes La Plata
0:3
23.09.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Estudiantes La Plata
2:0
05.05.2024
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
07.05.2023
Estudiantes La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:0
Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
