Result
2:1
07/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie D - Group I - Round 34
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Palma M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', 2 - 0, Palma M. ⚽,
- 67', 🟥,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Apostu A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castrovillari
21.1% | Draw
24.6% | San Luca
54.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrovillari's form might have worsened.San Luca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Luca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrovillari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Luca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrovillari - San Luca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.29 ↑
(3.19) |
3.68 ↑
(3.42) |
1.67 ↓
(2.04) |
10.5%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 0.
- Castrovillari is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches San Luca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Castrovillari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- San Luca will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.
- Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrovillari won against San Luca?
Castrovillari has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Luca won against Castrovillari?
San Luca has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrovillari - San Luca were as follows:
26.11.2023
San Luca
-
Castrovillari
3:3
18.01.2023
San Luca
-
Castrovillari
2:1
Latest results of Castrovillari
Latest results of San Luca
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gela | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Gelbison | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Igea Virtus | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Castrumfavara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Athletic Palermo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Reggina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Vigor Lamezia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Milazzo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Enna | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Savoia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | AS Acireale | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Paterno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nissa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | USD Ragusa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Sambiase | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | ACR Messina | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | -10 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
