San Marcial vs Calahorra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 30

Chances of winning


San Marcial
11.8%
Draw
19.3%
Calahorra
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.2% 21.1% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9% 20.7% 66.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • San Marcial - Calahorra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.73
    (6.42)
    4.7
    (4.31)
    1.32
    (1.41)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
    • San Marcial has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Calahorra is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Calahorra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Calahorra is the obvious favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of San Marcial
    02.04.2026 Comillas - San Marcial 0:1
    29.03.2026 San Marcial - Vianés 2:2
    21.03.2026 Arnedo - San Marcial 7:1
    14.03.2026 San Marcial - Yagüe 1:0
    08.03.2026 San Marcial - La Calzada 2:2
    Latest results of Calahorra
    05.04.2026 Calahorra - La Calzada 3:2
    29.03.2026 Varea - Calahorra 1:1
    15.03.2026 Autol - Calahorra 0:2
    08.03.2026 Calahorra - Berceo 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B30228081:216074
    2Varea30215449:232668
    3Arnedo29178464:234159
    4Calahorra291410567:214652
    5Oyonesa30156946:38851
    6Anguiano29147841:33849
    7Agoncillo301371053:401346
    8Haro Deportivo291361048:42645
    9Yague29911943:41238
    10Berceo30991238:43-536
    11Vianes29981235:41-635
    12San Marcial29971333:48-1534
    13Comillas29941626:49-2331
    14CDFC Calzada29861533:50-1730
    15Pradejon30781526:45-1929
    16Villegas29751730:57-2726
    17Autol29342217:69-5213
    18Pena Balsamaiso290111820:66-4611

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation