Deportes Copiapó vs San Marcos de Arica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
25/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
210
Shots on target
18
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
10
Total shots
210
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
12
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Torres F. 🟨,
  • 5', Cazula A. 🟨,
  • 27', Palacios L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 29', Palacios L. , Lopez M. ,
  • 37', Filla M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Aguila Bastias Y. M. ,
  • 59', Ross C. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 59', Ledezma I. , Soza Quezada C. ,
  • 65', Guerra C. , Maidana A. ,
  • 73', Rojas M. , Espinoza Olave S. A. ,
  • 73', Fernandez E. , Kimura N. ,
  • 73', Donadell N. , Reyes G. ,
  • 73', Sagredo B. , Abalos A. ,
  • 79', 0 - 2, Melivilu Fuentes C. ,
  • 84', Melivilu Fuentes C. , Zedan N. ,
  • 84', Aguila Bastias Y. M. , Iturra M. ,
  • 88', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Soza Quezada C. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 0 - 3, Maidana A. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes Copiapó
44%
Draw
29.9%
San Marcos de Arica
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 29.5% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 30.2% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Deportes Copiapó - San Marcos de Arica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.28)
    3.06
    (3.13)
    3.52
    (3.09)
    9.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportes Copiapó - San Marcos de Arica?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Copiapó will win (votes: 2 - 50%). San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Copiapó (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 4.
    • Recent performances by Copiapó have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Marcos de Arica is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Copiapó could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Copiapó won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Copiapó - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Deportes Copiapó - San Marcos de Arica 3:1
    30.05.2025 San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Copiapó 0:1